$109: Is this a Bluff?!?
NL Texas Hold'em $100 Buy-in + $9 Entry Fee Trny:15802265 Level:3 Blinds(25/50) - Friday, September 16, 22:32:24 EDT 2005
Table Table 11709 (Real Money) Seat 2 is the button Total number of players : 9 Seat 4: HERO ( $1080 ) Seat 10: ( $910 ) Seat 9: ( $885 ) Seat 3: VILLAIN ( $2035 ) Seat 5: ( $1360 ) Seat 1: ( $1215 ) Seat 6: ( $640 ) Seat 2: ( $620 ) Seat 8: ( $1255 ) Trny:15802265 Level:3 Blinds(25/50) ** Dealing down cards ** Dealt to HERO [ Qs Jc ] folds. folds. folds. folds. folds. calls [50]. calls [50]. VILLAIN calls [25]. HERO checks. ** Dealing Flop ** [ Qh, 8s, 4s ] (POT 200) VILLAIN checks. HERO bets [85]. folds. folds. VILLAIN calls [85]. ** Dealing Turn ** [ 6h ] (POT 370) VILLAIN checks. HERO bets [200]. VILLAIN calls [200]. ** Dealing River ** [ Kd ] (POT 770) VILLAIN bets [700]. HERO ???? No prior reads, but villain took a LONG time thinking before making the river bet. My stack on the river was 745. Call or fold? |
Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
it seems like he's using his stacksize in relation to the pot to push you off a hand with the river scare card. with high reliability I'd assume its a bluff.
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Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
this looks like a bluff to me, but why didnt you bet at least 3/4 the pot on the flop?
that flop bet looks like its begging to get pushed off a hand, IMO. |
Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
Porbally. I probally woulda made some sort of blocking bet on the river. But I dont plat $109's so my opinion might be irrelevant.
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Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
i play the 109s and if i made this bet, 80% of the time it wouldn't be a bluff.
i make a lot of overbets and big river bets with good hands, and have a lot of success with it. plus-- the "long time thinking" is a non factor if you are playing against a multi-tabler, which many of the 109 players are. |
Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
If long time thinking means anything, I would think it would indicate that it wasn't a bluff.
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Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
my guess is that he had a very strong hand like a set and worried that the overcard would make you check behind. i'd give it up.
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Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
I think your usually beat here unless the 109s have more tricky players in them than I think they do. I mean seriously, does the average 109 player have bluffing in this spot in their repertoire?
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Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
[ QUOTE ]
Porbally. I probally woulda made some sort of blocking bet on the river. But I dont plat $109's so my opinion might be irrelevant. [/ QUOTE ] Your opinion is irrelevant because it makes no sense. |
Re: $109: Is this a Bluff?!?
Seems too big to be a value bet. If I knew I had the best hand I would bet 250-300. Unless villian knows that you are a very good player I don't think he would bet your whole stack for value. That leads me to believe that it is a bluff since he is most likely a random and has little info on you (speculation of course).
It is likely he missed one of the 2 flush draws and got greedy here. It is also likely he hit his king (FD+1 over draw) and is making this bet so he won't have to make any decisions later on in the action. Very tough hand but overall I just don't think you have the best hand enough to make this call profitable. |
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