PS $39 Sat hand to the Sun $500k
 

this is the freeze out version of the Sat. This was my first attempt at this particular buyin. I was pretty amazed by the variety of skill shown thus far. About 110 started, 18 paid, very few gone from the field.

Level 2, blinds 30/15 my only general read that the table had tightened up a lot over the past 6 hands or so. It had been very laggy up to that point.

My PF minraise bet was very poor. I sometimes use that in the later rounds to induce action. Inducing action was my intent again, but my timing was poor. I assumed that the Villain in this hand could've called my weak PF bet with any 2 face, any A, suited connectors or a small - medium PP.

I donked up the flop as well, should've at least bet 2/3 - pot sized IMO but the flop really threw me. Blah, my bet looks weak.

Ignoring my PF play, what is your play on the turn here?

PokerStars Game #3026209652: Tournament #14704596, Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30) - 2005/11/10 - 22:08:35 (ET)
Table '14704596 7' Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: wbox (190 in chips)
Seat 2: ram80 (2905 in chips)
Seat 3: Villain (1275 in chips)
Seat 4: quick (2280 in chips)
Seat 5: J9 of Clubs (2420 in chips)
Seat 6: loop (1340 in chips)
Seat 8: Hero (3450 in chips)
Seat 9: Zba (1550 in chips)
ram80: posts small blind 15
Villain: posts big blind 30
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Hero [Ac Ah]
quick folds
J9 of Clubs: folds
loop folds
Hero raises 30 to 60
Zba: folds
wbox: folds
ram80: folds
Villain calls 30
*** FLOP *** [Qs Ks Qh]
Villain checks
Hero bets 60
Villain raises 60 to 120
Hero calls 60
*** TURN *** [Qs Ks Qh] [2h]
Villain bets 390
Hero ?

Re: PS $39 Sat hand to the Sun $500k
 

bump.

Re: PS $39 Sat hand to the Sun $500k
 

I've gotta ask, is this that difficult? 53 views, no comments?????

Re: PS $39 Sat hand to the Sun $500k
 

i'd raise to 1000 he probably has a king here.

Re: PS $39 Sat hand to the Sun $500k
 

He is basically Allin if you call here, you have him covered almost 3:1, you will have 2175 if you bust, 4600ish if you catch him.

Giving him the range of what you specified, which is what i agree with for the most part...

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 74.5651 % 74.26% 00.31% { AcAh }
Hand 2: 25.4349 % 25.13% 00.31% { 22+, ATs+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, T9s, 98s, 87s, ATo+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }


You straight up lose to any Queen basically, only 2 left in the deck, i push back assuming he figured you were bluffing preflop and fired a weak continuiation i put him on a KJ-AK-AT-Possibly 2 lower spades.


*EDIT*

Quit being a sissy with the big stack, raise your strong hands. - That needed to be said [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

Re: PS $39 Sat hand to the Sun $500k
 

I'd have the balls to push knowing that he has either
A) a king
B) a flush draw (most likely)
C) a straight draw

Geez, grow some balls [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]