Fancy moves: the paired board bluff... what do you think ?
Blinds are 15 and 30, Pokerroom tourney.
I am the BB Seat 2: dblock xxx ($1,460 in chips) Seat 3: moneymanbc ($2,180 in chips) Seat 5: mr-natural ($3,730 in chips) Seat 6: HERO ($1,470 in chips) Seat 8: raedkaer ($1,450 in chips) Seat 9: deuces357 ($1,580 in chips) Seat 10: ozack ($2,220 in chips) PRE FLOP HERO has 10[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] raedkaer folds, deuces357 calls $30, ozack folds, dblock xxx calls $30, moneymanbc calls $30 4 players see a flop of K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Pot size 150. THE SB checks. HERO BETS 150 Everyone folds except for the SB who calls. THE TURN is 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] BOARD IS K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] SB: CHECKS HERO: CHECKS RIVER is a J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] BOARD IS K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Pot contains 450 chips SB: CHECKS HERO: BETS 300 SB: FOLDS My thinking was that the paired flop bet had some scare power. A paired flop leaves only 5 cards that can connect with it vs a non paired flop where 9 cards connect. I guess it had 2 clubs so the clubs could aslo connect. I can not easilly do the math on the chance of suited pocket clubs being in play, anyone? So betting a paired flop represents trips or two pair and should be hard to call. Unless of course I am crushed. Villains call on the flop was scary. His check on the river and my absolute nothing of a hand forced my river bet. Comments on all streets welcome. Any thoughts in general on the paired flop bluff are also welcome. The paired board bluff is more of a NL ring game move but it may be useful in STT play. -- tjh |
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