Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Probability (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=23)
-   -   3 Quads in 1000 hands (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=392332)

UATrewqaz 12-06-2005 01:05 AM

3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
I got quads 3 times tonight on 1000 hands even.

what are the odds of getting 3 or more quads in 1000 hands

(any way, I flopped them twice, and caught them on the river once)

12-06-2005 02:22 AM

Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
I think this was a 6 handed table in holdem.
Player A raises
I call.

flop came a pair plus another card--he eventually bet and I folded he showed his flopped quads.

Very next hand
I raise
Player A (yeah the same one) calls
I flopped quads but unfortunately didn't get anything from them.

I wonder what are the odds of only two players in consecutive hands one of whom has flopped quads. (first you've got the odds that only 2 get a hand to play... then the odds that one has a pair, then quads, etc etc etc...)

[go ahead and answer the easier one stats gurus [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] ]

12-06-2005 04:46 AM

Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
Yesterday I had AQ three times in a row, in the first hand I flopped an A and won, in the second I flopped a Q and won and in the third I flopped AQ and lost all back to a guy who held AA. Can someone calculate the odds for this? [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img]

12-06-2005 07:43 AM

Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
i think my most amazing is seeing 4 straight flushes in ~250 hands

i only had one of them, but it went: straight flush, another one right after (!)...but this one was on the board, then 80 hands later saw a royal, and then another 170 hands another one

12-06-2005 10:30 AM

Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
30k hands I have one stright flush. Well, due to the curse of PT it turns out I folded 8 of them...

LetYouDown 12-06-2005 12:54 PM

Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
Probability that you'll get 3 or more quads in 1000 hands, including quads on board:

=1-BINOMDIST(3,1000,13 * COMBIN(48,3)/COMBIN(52,7),TRUE) or about 9%.

Alternatively:

=BINOMDIST(996,1000,1 - (13 * COMBIN(48,3)/COMBIN(52,7)),TRUE)

LetYouDown 12-06-2005 12:56 PM

Re: 3 Quads in 1000 hands
 
Probability of A-Q three hands in a row is simply:

[16/C(52,2)]^3 or ~.000176%


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 11:13 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions Inc.