Counting outs
 

Party 2/4. Reads: UTG is lag. Button is a passive calling station.

Pre flop: UTG calls, folds to button who calls, SB calls and i check 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in the BB.

Flop(4 players 4sb): A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] SB checks, i check,UTG bets, button calls, SB folds and i?

Re: Counting outs
 

I figure your worth at least 8.5 outs. Easy call.

Double gutters are sexy

Re: Counting outs
 

8.5 seems about right. Easy call. You don't have any overcards here, so I don't see any point in raising. If there were one more caller, I'd say raise and get as much money in the pot as possible.

Re: Counting outs
 

I see the 3 of diamonds and 6 of diamonds as scare cards to enemy flush, are you guys giving them .5 outs each to get to 8.5? 1 full out each to other 3's and 6's and 1.5 to backdoor flush? Makes sense, I'd call too then.

Ace of Spades on turn?
 

If the ace of spades falls on the turn are we happy or sad? The spade gives us a ton of new outs to make our flush by the river and eliminates the most likely candidate for a bigger flush. On the other hand, it makes a full house a possibility. Does the good outweight the bad here?

If someone gets trip aces, that's clearly good for us, unless he already has the boat or gets it on the river.

The nightmare scenario is probably the ace of spades on the turn, then the 7 of spades on the river, completing our doomed flush.

Re: Ace of Spades on turn?
 

any spade is a great card for us

Re: Ace of Spades on turn?
 

[ QUOTE ]
If the ace of spades falls on the turn are we happy or sad? The spade gives us a ton of new outs to make our flush by the river and eliminates the most likely candidate for a bigger flush. On the other hand, it makes a full house a possibility. Does the good outweight the bad here?

If someone gets trip aces, that's clearly good for us, unless he already has the boat or gets it on the river.

The nightmare scenario is probably the ace of spades on the turn, then the 7 of spades on the river, completing our doomed flush.

[/ QUOTE ]

I was thinking about the Ace too, but dismissed the idea prematurely. I think we need to devaluate our outs a little bit more on the flop... Maybe the LAG/Station reads neutralizes this though?

Re: Counting outs
 

7 for the straight, and 1 for the low bd flush. I give you 8 outs, maybe 8.5. You easily have the odds to call this flop.

Results
 

I figured i had eightish or so outs but no reason to split hairs as long as i had at least seven i was good. So everyone agrees i have at least seven so far. Anyway when the flop came i almost check/folded and the went wait a minute i have a double gutter and bdfd and called. Even if i knew what my outs were before i checked the flop i still probably wouldn't have bet with the lag on my left.

Turn(3 players 3.5bb): 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] I bet, UTG raises, button calls, i make it three, UTG capps, button calls and i call.

River(3 players 15.5bb): J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] i bet,UTG raises,button calls, i make it three again,UTG capps again, button calls and i call.

I win a 27+bb pot and am glad i didn't fold that flop.

Re: Counting outs
 

Nut double gutter, bdfd, 6:1, closing action, even if you discount your diamond outs, you have 7.5 outs, so call.

Re: Results
 

[ QUOTE ]
I figured i had eightish or so outs but no reason to split hairs as long as i had at least seven i was good. So everyone agrees i have at least seven so far. Anyway when the flop came i almost check/folded and the went wait a minute i have a double gutter and bdfd and called. Even if i knew what my outs were before i checked the flop i still probably wouldn't have bet with the lag on my left.

Turn(3 players 3.5bb): 2 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] I bet, UTG raises, button calls, i make it three, UTG capps, button calls and i call.

River(3 players 15.5bb): J [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] i bet,UTG raises,button calls, i make it three again,UTG capps again, button calls and i call.

I win a 27+bb pot and am glad i didn't fold that flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

NH

The joy of getting the 2 big streets capped 3 handed when you have the nut hand!

Re: Results
 

I want to know what they had.

(And I suggest you tell us. You know I can change yr avatar to whatever I want right?)

Re: Results
 

[ QUOTE ]
I want to know what they had.

(And I suggest you tell us. You know I can change yr avatar to whatever I want right?)

[/ QUOTE ]

Hi Greg lol you can give me a donkey or fish avatar i probably deserve one [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] but lag boy flopped a set of threes and fish girl turned a set of twos.

Re: Counting outs
 

[ QUOTE ]
Party 2/4. Reads: UTG is lag. Button is a passive calling station.

Pre flop: UTG calls, folds to button who calls, SB calls and i check 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in the BB.

Flop(4 players 4sb): A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] SB checks, i check,UTG bets, button calls, SB folds and i?

[/ QUOTE ]
bet the flop

Re: Counting outs
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Party 2/4. Reads: UTG is lag. Button is a passive calling station.

Pre flop: UTG calls, folds to button who calls, SB calls and i check 4 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]5 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] in the BB.

Flop(4 players 4sb): A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]7 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]3 [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] SB checks, i check,UTG bets, button calls, SB folds and i?

[/ QUOTE ]
bet the flop

[/ QUOTE ]

OK, I don't understand this. This is a small pot, so we're not protecting anything. We certainly don't have the best hand. We're not folding any diamonds. It seems a slim value bet. We could easily get raised by the LAG. There's barely enough players in the pot, and then when it's two back to SB who checked.

Re: Counting outs
 

this is a pretty raggy ass board. unless someone has an ace or a flush draw, you're going to win here with a bet sometimes. look at all the hands that can't call a bet here.

KQ, KJ, KT, K9, K8, QJ, QT, Q9, Q8, JT, J9, J8, 66, 55, 44, 33, 22 (admittedly these pocket pairs may get called).

yeah, these players will call sometimes if these hands have a big diamond, but this is a lot of hands. also, if they all call, cool. when we hit on the turn, we can c/r the hell out of it. if we get raised, we have an easy call.

just because there's a lag behind us doesn't mean he's going to indiscriminately raise our bet.