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-   -   Raised on the river (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=376145)

Evan 11-11-2005 01:09 AM

Raised on the river
 
This river decision was really close for me. Obviously the scare hand on this board is a straight, but he could also have J8 REALLY easily here. Does anyone fold the river? No relevant stats, sorry.

Party Poker 20/40 Hold'em (5 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is BB with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (6 SB) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP calls, SB calls.

Turn: (4.50 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, SB folds, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, MP calls.

River: (10.50 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP raises</font>, Hero calls.

Final Pot: 14.50 BB

blackize 11-11-2005 01:24 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
Given this board I think bet fold is a good line against an unknown.

11-11-2005 01:34 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
he could also have J8 REALLY easily here.

[/ QUOTE ]

I dont see this. I dont see an unknown raising J8s, and even if he does, he's definitely raising this flop if he hits.

Justin A 11-11-2005 01:46 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
Getting 13.5:1 you can't fold just because of the possibility of 87.

baronzeus 11-11-2005 01:52 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
im never folding this.

Evan 11-11-2005 02:30 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
im never folding this.

[/ QUOTE ]
We know. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

baronzeus 11-11-2005 02:37 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
im never folding this.

[/ QUOTE ]
We know. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

haha its gotten to the point where my advice is implied even if i dont post. sweet.

imitation 11-11-2005 03:18 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
I don't fold, but you probably can, but folding means you don't get to see what beat you so I call. There is no logic behind my answer besides, internte + big pot + shania = call.

ArturiusX 11-11-2005 03:22 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
im never folding this.

[/ QUOTE ]

TheMetetron 11-11-2005 03:34 AM

Re: Raised on the river
 
13.5:1 is too much for me to fold this.

Danenania 11-11-2005 02:34 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
I'd call the river. Also I nearly always checkraise the flop.

Entity 11-11-2005 02:42 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't fold, but you probably can, but folding means you don't get to see what beat you so I call. There is no logic behind my answer besides, internte + big pot + shania = call.

[/ QUOTE ]

That and the fact that it's relatively hard for dude to have a 9 here given how the hand played out.

Rob

colgin 11-11-2005 02:53 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
Villain could have 99 here, but that makes his flop/turn play rather odd IMO. I think he is bluff-raising a scare card here, not necessarily a lot, but often enough that you have a fairly easy call given the pot odds. (And J8 doesn't seem that likely to me given the action.)

Evan 11-11-2005 03:11 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
I nearly always checkraise the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
I do too, but I like to lead sometimes to mix it up. I probably check raise ~90% of the time.

baronzeus 11-11-2005 06:19 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I nearly always checkraise the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
I do too, but I like to lead sometimes to mix it up. I probably check raise ~90% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

"mixing it up" is important, but i think you need to check-raise this flop situation every time. there is too much to lose.

Evan 11-11-2005 06:23 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I nearly always checkraise the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
I do too, but I like to lead sometimes to mix it up. I probably check raise ~90% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

"mixing it up" is important, but i think you need to check-raise this flop situation every time. there is too much to lose.

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't really follow. What do you mean by "there is too much to lose"? Outside of betting the nuts when checked to on the river and things like that, I think it's quite a bold statement to say you need to do anything everytime, let alone check raise a 3 way flop with TP and a 5 kicker. Just to be clear, I almost always do check raise the flop; but I can't really see how it's something I absolutely have to do every time.

baronzeus 11-11-2005 06:26 PM

Re: Raised on the river
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I nearly always checkraise the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]
I do too, but I like to lead sometimes to mix it up. I probably check raise ~90% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

"mixing it up" is important, but i think you need to check-raise this flop situation every time. there is too much to lose.

[/ QUOTE ]
I don't really follow. What do you mean by "there is too much to lose"? Outside of betting the nuts when checked to on the river and things like that, I think it's quite a bold statement to say you need to do anything everytime, let alone check raise a 3 way flop with TP and a 5 kicker. Just to be clear, I almost always do check raise the flop; but I can't really see how it's something I absolutely have to do every time.

[/ QUOTE ]


im not saying it as an absolute; but with a guy behind him who will likely call one, you can trap the whole field for 2 bets (rather than the 1 bet that you did). unless of course, you have some read that MP will likely raise here, then you can bet with the intention of 3betting.


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