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-   -   80% W$SD (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=332373)

DoomSlice 09-08-2005 11:29 AM

80% W$SD
 
I am 80% won showdown after 30K hands. Many people will say that it's a bad thing because no one will call my bets if they know I win so often at the river. But guess what... 99% of small stakes players don't pay attention!

I'm sure most of you with PokerTracker don't even look at this stat, and if you do, most of you trust your "instincts" anyway and call.

Second part of my post: how do I achieve such a high win percentage? Easy, don't call raises with weak holdings.

Tada!

Entity 09-08-2005 11:30 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
You're folding too many winners.

Paxosmotic 09-08-2005 11:32 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
What's your WtSD, 7? If your BB/100 is >10, I am seriously impressed.

KingOtter 09-08-2005 11:34 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
[ QUOTE ]
I am 80% won showdown after 30K hands. Many people will say that it's a bad thing because no one will call my bets if they know I win so often at the river. But guess what... 99% of small stakes players don't pay attention!

I'm sure most of you with PokerTracker don't even look at this stat, and if you do, most of you trust your "instincts" anyway and call.

Second part of my post: how do I achieve such a high win percentage? Easy, don't call raises with weak holdings.

Tada!

[/ QUOTE ]

Someone at a table I was at last night said:

'I don't call check-raises on the river. You're never good unless you have the nuts.'

I copy and pasted that into the notes on him. I didn't get a chance to try it out. But I sure am gonna try.

What limits do you play? I don't think you can get away with that at 1/2 or higher.

KO

jrz1972 09-08-2005 11:40 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
You're leaving so much money on the table that I'm in tears as I'm posting this.

davelin 09-08-2005 11:42 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
[ QUOTE ]
I am 80% won showdown after 30K hands. Many people will say that it's a bad thing because no one will call my bets if they know I win so often at the river. But guess what... 99% of small stakes players don't pay attention!

I'm sure most of you with PokerTracker don't even look at this stat, and if you do, most of you trust your "instincts" anyway and call.

Second part of my post: how do I achieve such a high win percentage? Easy, don't call raises with weak holdings.

Tada!

[/ QUOTE ]

This whole thing is pretty ridiculous.

UATrewqaz 09-08-2005 11:43 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
Do you only play AA/KK?

Taxmanrick 09-08-2005 11:45 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
That' really high! I read Ed Miller's post the other day, and it sounds like you fit into the category of folding to many hands on the river. What is your went to showdown%?

09-08-2005 11:53 AM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
I think your probably leaving money on the table, folding too many winners. That percent is too dang high.

hemstock 09-08-2005 12:10 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
Wow nice work!
How do you do it?
I only have a 53% W$SD after 50k hands [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

bottomset 09-08-2005 12:39 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
can you post a pic, one of the general info tab, and the moredetail stats as well. I'd like to see it

Hojglad 09-08-2005 12:45 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
[ QUOTE ]
I am 80% won showdown after 30K hands.

[/ QUOTE ]
Hello 80% won showdown, I am Matt after 22 years.

Disconnected 09-08-2005 01:06 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
What is your VPIP and your WtSD?

09-08-2005 02:25 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
It doesn't matter what your W$SD. What matters is how much money you make. I'd actually be interested if you are a solid winner with this strategy, as obviously the conventional wisdom is that someone with this winning % is a weak-tight rock who barely beating the game.

DoomSlice 09-08-2005 03:04 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
Sorry, WtSD is 30%

09-08-2005 03:05 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
BB/100?

DoomSlice 09-08-2005 03:05 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
I'm pullin in around 4BB/100.

09-08-2005 03:09 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
That's good. I think at .50/1.00 and below you probably can get away with this. You are playing a lot of multiway pots against loose passive opponents. I just checked my PT and at .50/1.00 my WSD is 27 and W$SD is 60, but at 1/2 i am at like 30/52. At higher limits, aggressive players put you to tougher decisions and IMO you're not going to win playing like this.

DoomSlice 09-08-2005 03:11 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
I realize, and this was most of the point of my post. Opponents at this level are just not good enough to pick up on these things.

I just ram and jam when I've got a strong holding and watch the fishies come along for the ride.

MrWookie47 09-08-2005 03:31 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
Well, now the question is, what's your VPIP? With a 20% VPIP, 30% WtSD, and 80% W$@SD, you're winning about 5% of all pots, since you'll win some pots from the BB that you didn't VPIP. This neglects hands that you won without a showdown, so my numbers will be low. If we assume an average pot size of 7 BB, you'll be raking in about 35 BB/100 in winnings. If we record you with a 1 BB loss the 14% of all pots where you VPIP and don't make it to showdown, plus another 5 BB/100 in losses due to blinds, you should be winning at about 15 BB/100. If we give you a 10% VPIP, then you would be more like a 6 BB/100 winner. Those are somewhat conservative estimates for what your win rate should be with those stats. I think I'm going to whip out an OOT favorite:

http://img325.imageshack.us/img325/2...mingpoo1ny.jpg

09-08-2005 03:35 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
Yeah I hadn't really thought of it. If you have a super high W$SD but a normal WSD%, then you must just be running hot. I was thinking that at low limits you might able to bet by with >W$SD at expense of <WSD%

benkath1 09-08-2005 04:02 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
I don't frequent OOT that much. Would the pic be referring to the darker material on the ground under the large horned mammals?

MrWookie47 09-08-2005 04:40 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
Oh, it's not just underneath the horned mammals. The material of interest is in a giant mountain behind them, too. Furthermore, the mountain of the substance in the background is on fire.

Edit: typo.

09-08-2005 05:22 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
My W$SD is 100%! I fold anything less than quads, you can't be too careful.

afk 09-08-2005 05:30 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
[ QUOTE ]
Second part of my post: how do I achieve such a high win percentage? Easy, don't call raises with weak holdings.

Tada!

[/ QUOTE ]

How can you say that ignoring pot size?

deception5 09-08-2005 05:34 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
You can sit on my left anytime.

shermn27 09-08-2005 06:00 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
I thought the point of playing poker was to increase EV, not to have the highest W$SD % possible. Having that high of an W$SD means you are losing EV IMO.

hemstock 09-08-2005 06:06 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
EV is not money to lose

shermn27 09-08-2005 06:11 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
???

masland 09-08-2005 06:16 PM

Re: 80% W$SD
 
could u post your PT numbers? I would love to see it.

Guthrie 09-08-2005 06:21 PM

Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
.

davelin 09-08-2005 06:42 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
OP plays a lot of HU poker [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

MrWookie47 09-08-2005 06:47 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
[ QUOTE ]
OP plays a lot of HU poker [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Ah, finally a reasonable response. I mean, if he claims his numbers are from ring, or even 6 max, it's pretty flagrant trolling, but HU, I'll buy that. OP, what do your stats look like if you filter for 6 or more players at the table?

bottomset 09-08-2005 07:59 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
[ QUOTE ]
OP plays a lot of HU poker [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

thats much much worse than if he's playing fullring

Guthrie 09-08-2005 08:27 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
Juding from his previous posts, OP plays full ring .50/1.

MrWookie47 09-08-2005 08:29 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OP plays a lot of HU poker [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

thats much much worse than if he's playing fullring

[/ QUOTE ]

Hmmm. Upon further review, methinks you're right. I return to my previous sentiment:

http://img325.imageshack.us/img325/2...mingpoo1ny.jpg

bottomset 09-08-2005 09:07 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
I got a no-risk prop bet $10 to your stars account if you can produce the following unedited pics

general info tab
both pages of the more detail tab, from general info
position stats
pokergrapher pic of your 30k with W$SD80

at a level .5/1 or higher, with a winrate of 4BB/100 or higher

kirkt 09-08-2005 11:30 PM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
I agree that playing this tight to the river with a 4BB/100h return is unpossible. Furthermore, isn't 4BB/100h also a less remarkable margin for strong shorthanded and heads up play at .5/1? It's my experience and the consensus in the literature that the margins are substantially higher in shorthanded games.

Interestingly, a discussion of both the myth of the 'perfect player' (80% W$@SD, 4BB/100h 10 handed, for example) and the benefits of shorthanded play are chapters in "Inside the Poker Mind", which I just picked up and am enjoying.

RiverTheNuts 09-09-2005 04:40 AM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
im not sure if I am up to 30k hands, but my W$ at showdown is around 70ish after alot of hands... pat is emailing me an activation code for PT since I reformatted, Ill post my stats after I get it

aK13 09-09-2005 05:05 AM

Re: Don\'t let Ed Miller see this post.
 
I have a 18% WtSD over about 5k hands at NL (I'm a rock), and my W$SD is only 65%. This thread is horseshit.


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