Two Plus Two Older Archives

Two Plus Two Older Archives (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/index.php)
-   Internet Gambling (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=26)
-   -   Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=300268)

boose_bagina 07-25-2005 05:29 PM

Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
If given the oppurtunity in heads up play, to put all your bankroll on AA...do you do it?

KingMarc 07-25-2005 05:30 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My entire poker bankroll on AA? Yes

All the money I own + assets? No

sammy_g 07-25-2005 05:32 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
preflop? hell yeah

boose_bagina 07-25-2005 05:35 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
despite the odds I'm getting, I built up my bankroll too big that I can't imagine starting from scratch again if I busted...so a reluctant no.

Bill Bixby 07-25-2005 05:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!! Seriously, absolutely not.

Benholio 07-25-2005 05:39 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I would, because my bankroll is near its lowest at the moment.

Tapin 07-25-2005 05:39 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I don't think I'd be willing to put my entire bankroll into play HU, much less bet it all on a single hand. Even one that I'm an 85% chance to win (assuming we're talking preflop).

The best that happens is I double up, the worst that happens is I'm broke. I'm not enough of a gambler to say the former outweighs the latter.

Of course, it would depend on my read of my opponent's hand.. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Prod1gy 07-25-2005 05:46 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
For me I think this might be possible on some of the poker sites. Although I would have to fold until I hit my AA.

Emoney 07-25-2005 05:46 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
My entire poker bankroll on AA? Yes

All the money I own + assets? No

[/ QUOTE ]

correct answer

David 07-25-2005 05:53 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My bankroll is 5 figures (actual, not hypothetical).
I am playing heads up and my opponent pushes from the small blind for the exact amount of my bankroll.
I beat him in the pot.
Any other play and I should pick up my chips, cash out, and play a different game than poker.


All of this assumes the action is preflop.

jasonHoldEm 07-25-2005 05:56 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My opponent folded and all I got was the damn blind money. [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img]

TylerD 07-25-2005 05:57 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Yea, I built it up once, I'll do it again if need be.

You offering? [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

MushashiAce 07-25-2005 06:01 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
If you wouldn't put your entire bankroll pre-flop on AA, then why are you playing poker? That's the best odds poker has to offer!

z80x86 07-25-2005 06:05 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Because I spent months building up my bankroll and no one is a sure winner in the short term. I'm not going to risk it all on a single bet to get to a level of cash I will reach anyway.

Once you double up, then what? Would you do it again? Keep doing it till you're broke??

teddyFBI 07-25-2005 06:16 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you wouldn't put your entire bankroll pre-flop on AA, then why are you playing poker? That's the best odds poker has to offer!

[/ QUOTE ]

Correct.
The 32% of people who answered no should not be playing poker.

theben 07-25-2005 06:17 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
count me in

Alpha13 07-25-2005 06:24 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I recall a thread where the best hands against AA was discussed. It was 65s with I think 24% equity. So you're basically a 76% favorite (or greater) to double your entire bankroll on that bet.

Tapin 07-25-2005 06:26 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you wouldn't put your entire bankroll pre-flop on AA, then why are you playing poker? That's the best odds poker has to offer!

[/ QUOTE ]
"But there's only one bullet, and there are six chambers!"

kitaristi0 07-25-2005 06:26 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I recall a thread where the best hands against AA was discussed. It was 65s with I think 24% equity. So you're basically a 76% favorite (or greater) to double your entire bankroll on that bet.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've heard it is JTs, but i could be wrong.

Inthacup 07-25-2005 06:29 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
but i could be wrong.

indeed

iluzion 07-25-2005 06:30 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My bankroll at any given site, yes. My entire bankroll? No.

imported_anacardo 07-25-2005 06:31 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Shouldn't it be any suited connector that doesn't make a straight with an ace? 98s, 87s, 76s?

sublime 07-25-2005 06:32 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
The 32% of people who answered no should not be playing poker.

um wrong. you have to factor in risk of ruin. if i lost, i would have to get a job. no thanks.

SoftcoreRevolt 07-25-2005 06:33 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Two of the cards JTs needs to make a straight are missing.

boose_bagina 07-25-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
98s max22.47%
78s max22.87% //best you'll get
67s max22.87% //best you'll get
56s max22.87% //best you'll get
JTs max21.55%
any PP ~20%

IggyWH 07-25-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Shouldn't it be any suited connector that doesn't make a straight with an ace? 98s, 87s, 76s?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, you are correct. So when asked what is the best hand, it's 98s (sure 87s has the same odds, but the 9 is higher).

MicroBob 07-25-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My answer is 'no' (of course, this can be bankroll dependent too).


When I am just playing poker in general I estimate that I have around a 1-2% advantage much of the time. Perhaps a little bit more.
so I adjust the amount that I have at risk accordingly.

Same goes for an doubleup-or-nothing proposition where I'm an 85:15 favorite.
This is not enough of an advantage for me to risk all my money.


For those saying yes....then I assume you would also not have any issue just taking a roll of the dice for an 85% advantage (picture a 100 sided die or something).

Is there some percentage where you wouldn't accept this bet?
I am hoping you would not choose to take this bet at 51% advantage for example.

Do you take it at 75%??
70%??


The issue is NOT that 'you have AA and that's the best hand you can get in poker'.

The issue is whether you are willing to put all your money on the line for an 85% chance of doubling-up or going broke.


If I don't go on super monkey-tilt or spend it all, then I have about a 99% chance or higher of doubling-up my money just playing the way I am playing now (especially since I am willing to step back in limits and re-build if things get tough for me at the tables).

Obviously it will take longer doing it my way.

But I view taking the 85% chance of double-up to be a foolish risk considering that I am already at a 99% chance if I just grind out all my little hands and give myself a chance to get to the long-run.

smartalecc5 07-25-2005 06:37 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I am pretty sure it s 78s is the best cards against AA. HAHA, do you remember that debate about hte six chambers in the gun question posed by David S. That was ugly!

I voted yes, but In ACTUALITY - I would not do it. Im not risking thousands of dollars on a 75% chance of winning.

TylerD 07-25-2005 06:39 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
an unsuprising observation: "pro" players say no, recreational/semi-pro players say yes.

boose_bagina 07-25-2005 06:41 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]

I voted yes, but In ACTUALITY - I would not do it.

[/ QUOTE ]
hmmm, i don't think you understand the poll. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

MicroBob 07-25-2005 06:48 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
teddyfbi plays full-time for income and obviously is in the 'yes' camp.

otherwise though, I do think your observation has some validity.

IggyWH 07-25-2005 06:49 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I don't even consider myself a gambler and I'd take that bet without thinking.

Tapin 07-25-2005 06:53 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't even consider myself a gambler and I'd take that bet without thinking.

[/ QUOTE ]

In that case, at what point does wagering several thousand dollars (adjust upwards as necessary) become gambling?

Alpha13 07-25-2005 06:53 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
65s is a little better than the other SCs because it beats AA's wheel. I guess this a a question of how much you value your BR. As a 76% favorite at least, most recreational players would take this bet no problem.

JoshuaD 07-25-2005 06:55 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
If I knew someone who'd stake me if I busted I might say yes. Otherwise it's a definite no. I need my money to pay the bills. I become a bum if I drop my BR.

WarBus 07-25-2005 06:58 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Definite NO!

You are risking not only your bankroll but all future winnings made from having the bankroll.

Nigel 07-25-2005 06:58 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
The 32% of people who answered no should not be playing poker.

[ QUOTE ]
Once you double up, then what? Would you do it again? Keep doing it till you're broke??

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

The people saying yes to this most likely do not have big bankrolls and could replenish them easily, or are just full of crap.

Also, if this bet was continaully offered to them and they kept taking it, which using their logic they undoubtedly would, going broke is an inevitability.

No way in hell I risk my whole bankroll on AA all-in HU. A percentage yes, the whole thing, no.

Nigel

Shoe 07-25-2005 07:00 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
On Empire yes, party no way in hell

Seriously though -- no I would not. I would be willing to risk maybe 50 BBs or so. I have worked to hard on my bankroll, that if I lost it all, it would take me too long to rebuild it, where as if I keep going at my current pace I KNOW that I will be fine.

VarlosZ 07-25-2005 07:00 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I said yes, but I keep my bankroll down to only a few thousand dollars, which I could recoup in a couple of weeks if I played enough.

Probably the most I'd do it for would be about 10K, give or take depending on my level of need in the real world at the time. To put another way what others have already pointed out: there are diminishing returns. That first 10K might be much more important to me than the next 10K.

MicroBob 07-25-2005 07:01 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I'm more curious about what percentage is your 'breaking point' for such a wager.


Okay...so you're willing to put all your money on the line for an 85% 'roll of the dice' (note - it doesn't matter if we're talking AA or we're talking about a 100-sided die here....we're actually NOT playing poker in the question given).


Do you take this chance at 77%?
71%?
68%?


As I stated already: I am liking my 99% chance of doubling my money by playing small a LOT better.


But obviously some people are okay to do this at 85%...and I'm curious if any of those same people would be okay to do it if the chances for success were at 75% or lower.


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:02 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.