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-   -   How much do you value bet this river? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=288578)

brassnuts 07-08-2005 12:39 AM

How much do you value bet this river?
 
Haven't seen much from this villain so far. I'm fairly new to the table, also.

Party Poker $100 max

Hero dealt A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5 [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] in CO.

MP limps, Hero raises to $4, eveyrone folds, MP calls.

Flop A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (pot $8.50)

MP checks, Hero bets $6, MP raises $6, Hero calls $6.

Turn K [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (pot $33)

MP checks, Hero bets $20, MP calls.

River: 7 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

MP checks... how much should I bet?

AllIn3High 07-08-2005 12:42 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
I'd check behind. I think you're splitting most of the time here. I have a hard time seeing him calling you down with a hand you beat.

fimbulwinter 07-08-2005 01:04 AM

nice avatar
 
30 looks good, though you re splitting most often.

fim

FWIW your avatar is the best evar.

Student Caine 07-08-2005 01:12 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
I check behind, but I exemplify weak-tight.

Try to get The Worst Player here, he's aggressive as all giddy-up and will give you the line that you are looking for.

Spladle Master 07-08-2005 01:16 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
To be honest, I don't think you should. Bet, I mean. Unless this guy has made fishy calls in the past. Also, I'd have re-raised the flop.

RiverFenix 07-08-2005 01:45 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
Reraise flop, push non spade turn.

poboy 07-08-2005 01:47 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'd check behind. I think you're splitting most of the time here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Which is the very reason he must bet. Getting villian to fold is the only way Hero wins this pot.

AllIn3High 07-08-2005 01:50 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'd check behind. I think you're splitting most of the time here.

[/ QUOTE ]

Which is the very reason he must bet. Getting villian to fold is the only way Hero wins this pot.

[/ QUOTE ]

You really think Villian is folding an ace here? I doubt it. Betting here is just burning money especially when he's behind IMHO.

poboy 07-08-2005 01:57 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
Hero is very rarely behind here. This is most likely a split pot or a missed flush draw. If there is any chance at all(even if it is minute) villian might fold an A, then betting is clearly best. JMO

nietzreznor 07-08-2005 03:20 AM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is most likely a split pot or a missed flush draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

If this is true, then wouldn't a check behind be in order?

I guess a lot of the merit of a value bet here hinges on how often we think villain will fold when we would split were he to call. At these levels, I doubt that is very often...

...however, I also feel like there are enough people out there who will call with some bizarre holdings. This is probably a split most often (which makes betting bad), but you may get called with something random often enough to make betting +EV.

poboy 07-08-2005 05:36 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is probably a split most often (which makes betting bad), but you may get called with something random often enough to make betting +EV.

[/ QUOTE ]

How is betting into what is likely a split bad? You lose nothing by betting and stand to gain the whole pot. By checking behind you gain nothing and likely lose half the pot. JMO

amoeba 07-08-2005 05:38 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
you lose additional rake by betting.

if you want folding equity, you have to bet big as an Ace isn't folding to a value bet.

amoeba 07-08-2005 05:39 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
because villain is always on flush draw right?

poboy 07-08-2005 05:46 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
Most sites cap their rake at $3(not sure if this is true on Party) and with a $70+ pot on the river if it hasn't already been reached we are talking about maybe another 50 cents. Villian would need to fold a very small percentage of the time to make up for the additional rake. I agree it does need to be a large bet to get villian to fold, a value bet isn't going to do it. JMO

brassnuts 07-08-2005 05:47 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
Well, I checked it. Villain showed KTo, MHIG.

just2ska 07-08-2005 05:49 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
what if you value bet and get re raised large?

check it.

amoeba 07-08-2005 05:51 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
if you are counting the small edge that you get from getting him to fold a split with a huge bet, you must also count the small percentage of times that he would check the river with a boat.

I still maintain that check behind is correct.

cfb1739 07-08-2005 05:52 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
I don't see a hand here that will call your river bet unless you are beat.

Unless you think villain played A2, A3 or A4 this way, then you should check behind.

poboy 07-08-2005 05:59 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
True but then we would also have to factor in the small percentage of times that villian will call our bet with a worse hand. I really believe betting is better, very little risk for what could possibly be a large reward. JMO

poboy 07-08-2005 06:00 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
You do realize Hero isn't beating any of those hands right?

amoeba 07-08-2005 06:05 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
no hand without at least an ace will call the type of bet we are thinking of making.

it doesn't make sense. They'll call a bet designed to fold an ace with a non ace hand ?

you either have an ace fold or a worse hand call, you can't have both.

perhaps the best line, after knowing the results, is to actually bet so small that a K calls. as thats probably more value than trying to get an ace to fold.

yellowjack 07-08-2005 06:14 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
I don't like the PFR. By folding here am I losing money?

brassnuts 07-08-2005 06:19 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like the PFR. By folding here am I losing money?

[/ QUOTE ]

First of all, I'm a NL newbie. But, just from playinga lot of limit 6max, I'd say folding here is bad. Limping is what I would usually do. I just felt like raising. It was done on impulse. I dedicate this raise to Shania.

WOW. I just realized I never mentioned this was 6max. [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

amoeba 07-08-2005 06:24 PM

Re: How much do you value bet this river?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I don't like the PFR. By folding here am I losing money?

[/ QUOTE ]

First of all, I'm a NL newbie. But, just from playinga lot of limit 6max, I'd say folding here is bad. Limping is what I would usually do. I just felt like raising. It was done on impulse. I dedicate this raise to Shania.

WOW. I just realized I never mentioned this was 6max. [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

he is replying to the wrong thread.

He meant to reply to the KK thread.


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