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-   -   should i be calling these down? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=282030)

deepsquat 06-28-2005 06:44 AM

should i be calling these down?
 
my went to Sd % is an apalling 28%. Villains unknown

Absolute Poker 0.50/1 Hold'em (8 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (10.50 SB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (6.75 BB) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, UTG calls, Hero folds.

River: (8.75 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP1 bets</font>, UTG folds.

Final Pot: 9.75 BB

aK13 06-28-2005 06:52 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
Even against a slight LAG, I don't see what you could possibly be beating that's 3betting you preflop except JJ, and I don't know if JJ would have the balls to bet this flop, and his range is too wide to think you're ahead here.

deepsquat 06-28-2005 06:55 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
thats what i figured. Im searching thru Pt for hands that ive been folding too early. I was pretty sure this wasnt one of them.

silvershade 06-28-2005 06:58 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
I'd bet out on the flop, you have middle pair and a gutshot draw to a straight which will probably be good enough for a share of the pot or better if it hits. If raised ( and i think it probably will be ) call it and check/fold the turn if unimproved.

If you hit the king on the turn I'm not sure that's good here so dont play aggressively if the K lands, the Q or J is probably good for at least a share I suspect though.

MrEngenic 06-28-2005 07:02 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
On the turn you have 6 outs to a straight or trips if nobody else has a king, so you need the pot to be 6.7 BB. It is 8.75 with more bets to come on the river so you can call.
If one of them has a king you split the pot with a J so you should count 4 outs, 2 jacks and 2 queens.
If you collect only one bet on the river you don't have the implied odds to call, you need the pot to be 10.5 to call with 4 outs.
If one of them has AQ, AA, or TT you have 4 outs as well. I'd say it's very likely MP1 has AA, AK, QQ, AQ or TT so you have 4 outs = fold, but not a big mistake to call the turn.

Fantam 06-28-2005 07:05 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
I would have played this hand the same way.

On the flop you were only ahead of JJ as a likely PF 3-betting hand for MP1. For the chance of improving to a straight (which would quite likely only tie the hand) or catching a Q, I think it was ok to call 1 flop bet.

However, with the smaller pot (compared to bet size) and 2 remaining opponents including the PF 3-better, I would also have folded to the turn bet.

@bsolute_luck 06-28-2005 07:44 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
hand is goot! i think betting out this flop is foolishness. you will get raised and you want UTG in the hand when you hit your straight. besides if you hit your 2 pair, you could still be behind and even lose to JJ, so, yeah you're pretty much screwed in this hand. i would be inclined to give you 0 outs [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

silvershade 06-28-2005 08:54 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
I disagree about the bet on the flop being foolishness, if its an error at all its a minor one. If we are raised then UTG is faced with cold calling the raise and may decide to fold given that his check has already shown weakness. If he folds then we may just have increased our chances of taking this pot if we hit on the turn, for 1 small bet in a pot this size that seems a good investment to me.

Henke 06-28-2005 09:00 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
To bet on the flop would be bad because there aren't any outs we would like to clean. Think about it, what hand could villain have that we would beat given that turn would give us a K?

Griovejas 06-28-2005 10:46 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
[ QUOTE ]
To bet on the flop would be bad because there aren't any outs we would like to clean. Think about it, what hand could villain have that we would beat given that turn would give us a K?

[/ QUOTE ]

AK of course (by cathing another Q on the river:)

Griovejas 06-28-2005 10:51 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
Any J or Q would help us, giving us 6 outs, discounted - 5 outs, correct? I would play this one passively.

michaliv 06-28-2005 10:54 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
I would probably fold on the flop here. You don't have the odds to catch your straight and it is too likely that you are up against at least one Ace (and probably the AK at that).

tiltaholic 06-28-2005 10:58 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
i think i call this turn, but it's close.

silvershade 06-28-2005 11:18 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
Aside of the post flop play I am wondering about that pre-flop raise from UTG+1, I would limp KQo from there, would most here also have raised it?

gopnik 06-28-2005 11:45 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
I think you have enough outs to call the turn bet. 4 jacks and at least 2-3 outs for your QK.

gopnik 06-28-2005 11:47 AM

Re: should i be calling these down?
 
[ QUOTE ]
raised ( and i think it probably will be ) call it and check/fold the turn if unimproved.


[/ QUOTE ]
The pot at this point would be too big on the turn to fold.


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