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-   -   JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!! (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=268057)

JackThree 06-07-2005 07:32 PM

JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
I think I made one mistake, please enlighten. Thanks.

Party Poker 0.5/1 Hold'em (9 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. CO posts a blind of $0.5.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, CO (poster) checks, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, SB completes, BB checks.

Flop: (6 SB) J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(6 players)</font>
SB checks, BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 bets</font>, CO folds, SB folds, BB folds, UTG+1 calls, Hero calls.

Turn: (4.50 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero 3-bets</font>, MP2 calls, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 caps</font>, Hero calls, MP2 calls.

River: (16.50 BB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG+1 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, MP2 calls, UTG+1 calls.

Final Pot: 28.50 BB

JackThree 06-07-2005 07:34 PM

Re: Behind the whole way with a straight, huge pot.
 
I'm doing bad today, graph:
http://hebox.takiweb.com/~shaddix/shiot.jpg

Weatherhead03 06-07-2005 07:43 PM

Re: huge pot, straight on the turn
 
Only two hands beat you..I'd play the same.

Jakesta 06-07-2005 07:43 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
I don't cap the river. I play the rest the same. I don't think both have boats.

Jakesta 06-07-2005 07:44 PM

Re: huge pot, straight on the turn
 
[ QUOTE ]
Only two hands beat you..I'd play the same.

[/ QUOTE ]

AA
QQ
99
AJ
QJ
J9

6 hands beat him.

DavidC 06-07-2005 07:45 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
... in a chicken basket...

It sucks, though, notice my location.

oreogod 06-07-2005 07:49 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Dont cap the river. And there are more than two hands that beat u in this hand.

AJ, QJ,
J9, 99 (if the man doesnt know how to fold)...unlikley hands are AA, JJ, QQ. So 3-4 likely hands...but with terrible play that is the hall mark of the party .50...there are definitly more possibilities.

Its not hard to see the first three out there. If they are not there u might be chopping.

DavidC 06-07-2005 07:52 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
OOC, he is too early to make this pf call, or is that okay? Would it be okay without the poster?

Uh, weak-tight alert:

Turn-check-raises are generally bad things. In this case it could mean that he had a jack, but QJ and AJ are possible also. When it's two bets back to you on the river, you must fold.

I'm not 100% sure about the turn 3-bet though. It might be okay. Against a maniac I'll do it every time (and cap the river too). [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

AFAIK, no one's ever done a study on what sorts of hands people will check-call the flop with, then check-raise the turn. I'd guess that it'd be a pretty tough job, because you'd have to factor in different board textures and different numbers of opponents.

--Dave.

Weatherhead03 06-07-2005 07:53 PM

Re: huge pot, straight on the turn
 
I'm an idiot..thanks.

JackThree 06-07-2005 07:54 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
preflop is fine

PuckNPoker 06-07-2005 07:59 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Certainly plays like QJ &amp; 99. Any reads? Personally I dont like playing KT in that spot, but that is just me.

JackThree 06-07-2005 08:05 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
no reads, i hate passive players.

mojobluesman 06-07-2005 08:07 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Am I the only one that thinks the flop call is suspect?

There were 8 SBs in the pot to hero. He had 4 outs to the STR8 (4 Qs) and a backdoor flush. That's about 5 1/2 outs. You need around 9-1 to call with 5 1/2 outs. Granted, you have to consider implied odds, but you also have to discount your chances because of the paired board with an Ace (most played card) because of full house possibilities.

I know I am very tight, but I think I would have folded on the flop.

2+2 wannabe 06-07-2005 08:17 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
preflop is fine

[/ QUOTE ]

yeah this is pretty basic preflop i think

Nottom 06-07-2005 08:35 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
whew, i thought this was another one of those crazy jesus posts for a sec.

JackThree 06-07-2005 09:02 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
my profitable hands are all unprofitable ;_; i've been losing all day ;_;

btw I have nothing against Jesus, I love Jesus

AlmightyJay 06-07-2005 09:09 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
I fold this flop. You're getting 8:1 on an at best 10.5:1 shot. You have to discount your outs slightly because of the paired board. If you count your gutshot outs as 3 outs and your backdoor flush as 1, then you need 10.5:1 to continue. I suppose it's close, considering implied odds, but I still think I fold this flop.

Aaron W. 06-07-2005 09:27 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
no reads, i hate passive players.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is that a read?

PokerBob 06-07-2005 09:30 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
I think you can fold the river when it is 2 back to you. If not, just call. Capping is bad.

wpzone 06-07-2005 09:34 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Dont feel alone, Im having the same kind of day. Im -22.25bb/100 for the last 400 hands today. Big sets and flushes getting rivered all over the place. [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img] Gonna take a break for a couple hours. Not whining here, just lettin him know it happens.

Buccaneer 06-07-2005 09:56 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
If you will get out your copy of SSHE and read it once in a while you will see that this is how you make money at small stakes. We like to see lots of players go to the river because even though we know that we are beat we must cap that river if we want to hear the cha-ching.

You need to start playing more hands like 23s and such so that you can pump lots of big pots and have a chance to win the pot. Remember that any money you have put into the pot is gone and doesn't matter anymore. It belongs to the pot. If you want to win the pot you have to stay in. Remember the nuts or second nut can win pots.

macdaddy991 06-07-2005 10:28 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
If you will get out your copy of SSHE and read it once in a while you will see that this is how you make money at small stakes. We like to see lots of players go to the river because even though we know that we are beat we must cap that river if we want to hear the cha-ching.

You need to start playing more hands like 23s and such so that you can pump lots of big pots and have a chance to win the pot. Remember that any money you have put into the pot is gone and doesn't matter anymore. It belongs to the pot. If you want to win the pot you have to stay in. Remember the nuts or second nut can win pots.

[/ QUOTE ]


Dude this makes mo sense, some of it is correct, but most of it has no logic to it at all.

macdaddy991 06-07-2005 10:55 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
To the OP, you have only played about 300 hands. Bad stuff happens. Its not to say that you have a perfect game, but you can do the right stuff and still have a bad outcome. Wait will 30,000 hands and then see if you have the same results.

sccrneo 06-07-2005 10:56 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Isnt this pot too big to fold on the river?? He has a shot at it.

Uppercut 06-07-2005 11:42 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Remember the nuts or second nut can win pots.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, duh!

JackThree 06-08-2005 12:16 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
folding is ridiculously stupid, capping might not be best. but folding definately stupid.

edit: well I think it is stupid.

bottomset 06-08-2005 12:39 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
folding is ridiculously stupid, capping might not be best. but folding definately stupid.

[/ QUOTE ]

why don't you give me a range of hands that UTG+1 and MP2 would play that way??

how many do you beat, what is the likelyhood of each?

Wetdog 06-08-2005 12:47 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Do I need to Ctrl+P this one?

bighomage 06-08-2005 12:51 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Just to brighten the mood, a winning player can be a loser after 30,000 hands.

Phlebas 06-08-2005 06:17 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think I made one mistake, please enlighten. Thanks.

[/ QUOTE ]
Raise PF so that MP2 doesn't see the flop with his J9o.

Phlebas (specialising in results oriented thinking since 1902)

JackThree 06-08-2005 06:43 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
how many do you beat, what is the likelyhood of each?

[/ QUOTE ]

70%+ of the time i am beaten, or something like that.

and it keeps going down ='(
http://hebox.takiweb.com/~shaddix/shiot2.jpg

einbert 06-08-2005 06:45 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Chill out. 400 hands is nothing. 100 BB is nothing.

Post more hands. Or IM them to me. Whatever you do, quit freaking out and just play solid poker and it will turn around.

You need to learn to embrace variance if you really want to succeed at poker. It is part of the game and you need to get used to it.

Buccaneer 06-08-2005 08:31 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
[ QUOTE ]
Dude this makes mo sense, some of it is correct, but most of it has no logic to it at all.

[/ QUOTE ]
If you will be more specific about which concepts you are having trouble with I will be happy to give you the relevant page numbers.

Malcom Reynolds 06-08-2005 11:39 AM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
Fold the flop. Your implied odds are countered by the paired board, in a dangerous flop. Calling is better on a paired flop like 229 rainbow where there is less chance of being behind.

Mike Z 06-08-2005 12:14 PM

Re: JESUS H. CHRIST!!!!!!!
 
I would have folded the flop.
You got 4 out to the inside STR8 + 1.5 BDF - Pair on board. You could hit your STR8 or Flush and still lose to a House or higher Flush


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