A question about swings
 

I am looking for a little clarification on something. People frequently talk about swings, particularly that one must be prepared for a 200BB swing from time to time. My question is whether expected value taken into account? For instance, if I think I'm a 1BB/hr favorite and after 100 hours I'm down 50BB, is that a swing of 50 or 150?

Re: A question about swings
 

Swings do not take EV into account.

Re: A question about swings
 

It's a swing of 50. But swings don't take that long, they're much quicker.

Re: A question about swings
 

[ QUOTE ]
It's a swing of 50. But swings don't take that long, they're much quicker.

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I lost about 30 BB in 30 min today. I rule.

Re: A question about swings
 

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[ QUOTE ]
It's a swing of 50. But swings don't take that long, they're much quicker.

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I lost about 30 BB in 30 min today. I rule.

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This is the norm for me the past couple days. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Re: A question about swings
 

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I lost about 30 BB in 30 min today. I rule.

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Back of the line for you, chump. -175 BBs over the last week.

Re: A question about swings
 

Back of the line Chumpette.

I'm down 330BB ($4400) as of 3/1, 23K hands...

Ok ok I lied, I am up 78BB at 1/2 ($156) during that period. The $156 didn't really restore my BR though...

Re: A question about swings
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I lost about 30 BB in 30 min today. I rule.

[/ QUOTE ]

Back of the line for you, chump. -175 BBs over the last week.

[/ QUOTE ]

-271 BB over the last 2000+ hands [img]/images/graemlins/mad.gif[/img] Somehow I'm still actually + for the month though

Re: A question about swings
 

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I'm down 330BB ($4400) as of 3/1, 23K hands...


[/ QUOTE ]

I lost $2K in 3 hours last night.

Re: A question about swings
 

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm down 330BB ($4400) as of 3/1, 23K hands...


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I lost $2K in 3 hours last night.

[/ QUOTE ]

I came to within two big bets of moving up to 5/10 for the OIC. Then I dropped about 28, so now I'm 30 away. Do I win?

Re: A question about swings
 

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Back of the line for you, chump. -175 BBs over the last week.

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I am around -150BB. My current downswing has picked right up where the one I was on left off before I went away for three weeks. Still can't win with a set.

Anyway, I hope things turn around for you soon; I am sure it will.

Re: A question about swings
 

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I lost $2K in 3 hours last night.

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zzzzzzzzz

Re: A question about swings
 

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I came to within two big bets of moving up to 5/10 for the OIC. Then I dropped about 28, so now I'm 30 away. Do I win?

[/ QUOTE ]

Not close. I got to 5/10, fell all the way back to .5/1, got to 3/6, ran freakin' awesome, and I'll be back at .5/1 later this week. Goooooooooo me!

Re: A question about swings
 

Why do you say swings don't take that long? I've heard that even pros have a losing month once in a while.

Re: A question about swings
 

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Why do you say swings don't take that long? I've heard that even pros have a losing month once in a while.

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When a (good) pro has a losing month, it's usually the result of several swings; he might start the month off with a -200 BB downswing, rebound with a +250 upswing, and end it off with another -100 mini-downswing. There are obviously cases of downswings which last for hundreds or perhaps even thousands of game hours, but those are relatively rare for a good player.

Re: A question about swings
 

this post made me feel better about my current swing, I won't post it cuz its not as bad as otheres. Thanks fellas!

Re: A question about swings
 

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I lost $2K in 3 hours last night.

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zzzzzzzzz

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Do you have any tips on how the rest of us can become likewise inured to losing meaningful $$ in a few hours? Plz help. [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]