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-   -   The "Big Game" Bankrolls and EV (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=202673)

ace_in_the_hole 02-25-2005 04:18 PM

The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
I was wondering what kind of bankroll would be sufficient to play in this game especially knowing it is against other pros. Also who in your opinion will be a long term winner and long term loser in this game? Discuss

West 02-25-2005 05:20 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
Two of Daniel Negreanu's recent blogs talk about the big game. On one day this was the lineup:

Seat 1: Chip Reese
Seat 2: Phil Ivey
Seat 3 Johnny Chan
Seat 4: Negreanu
Seat 5: Gus Hansen
Seat 6: Lee Salem
Seat 7: Doyle Brunson
Seat 8: Chau Giang

and the next day this was it:

Seat One: Negreanu
Seat Two: Johnny Chan
Seat Three: Chau Giang
Seat Four: Phil Ivey
Seat Five: Lee Salem
Seat Six: Chip Reese (followed by Gus Hansen)
Seat Seven: Lyle Berman
Seat Eight: Doyle Brunson

He describes several tough beats he took en route to losing $440,000 over two days, though he says he was nowhere near the biggest loser over the time he played. He mentions that players can win or lose as much as a half a million in an hour in the game. They were playing a mix of games with limit stakes of $4000/$8000 and no limit/pot limit games capped at $100,000 per player investment in any one pot.

I don't know how Lee Salem or Lyle Berman compare, but it would seem on the surface to me that risking that much money against the likes of the rest of that lineup is the definition of a high risk investment.

TStoneMBD 02-26-2005 11:30 AM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
i hear pros talking about losing a million dollars in a day at the big game happens quite frequently, but i dont buy it. at 4000/8000, you would have to lose 100BBs in order to break the 800k mark. how often do you see people dropping 100BBs in a limit game? it does happen, but not as often as advertised from what ive heard.

regardless, according to conventional wisdom, 2.4m is the minimum for a 4/8k game. however, i would be very surprised if the regulars in that game are sporting any less than 3m. it just seems too reckless for these players to be risking their fortunes on a potential downswing. although, there are bound to be players who move up, willing to risk everything on the big game. players like brunson, reese, greenstein, and giang seem like the type to be catious with their rolls. ivey seems to be a big more reckless, and so does negreanu. i wouldnt be surprised if gus was playing a little bit too high for himself as well, but since hes had such recent success, his bankroll should be plentiful for that game.

Paluka 02-26-2005 12:17 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
These guys do not require a backup banrkoll, because it is so easy for them to find backers if they bust.

jojobinks 02-26-2005 12:21 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
i hear pros talking about losing a million dollars in a day at the big game happens quite frequently, but i dont buy it.

[/ QUOTE ]

they play some pot and no limit with a 100k max loss per hand. you could lose 1,000,000 in 20 minutes of that, right?

jeffraider 02-26-2005 12:24 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
i hear pros talking about losing a million dollars in a day at the big game happens quite frequently, but i dont buy it. at 4000/8000, you would have to lose 100BBs in order to break the 800k mark. how often do you see people dropping 100BBs in a limit game? it does happen, but not as often as advertised from what ive heard.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well, for one thing, Barry Greenstein said that it was unusual for a player to be down a million and then up a million in a session (re: Gus Hansen).

For another thing, Daniel Negreanu said that results in the big game are generally determined by how you do in capped NL/PL pots. Losing five or six $100,000 capped pots plus running on the bad side and dropping 50BB (which I'm sure can happen with a game this tricky) adds up to a million dollar loser night.

pancakes 02-26-2005 02:09 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
yes, although million dollar swings in the game are somewhat out of the ordinary, they are not that rare. The fact that those guys play hyper-aggressive poker can make some of those 4k/8k pots bigger than the capped ones, and they length that they play their sessions if you get cold cards for one nigth it could be very easy to be stuck a million.
--all this dosen't even include the prop bets that these guys make where it isn't that rare for someone to be winning in poker but stuck a million in props

crookedhat99 02-26-2005 04:11 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
OK, there's no way Ivey is playing to high for himself because he's got the biggest roll of all of them. And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

TStoneMBD 02-26-2005 04:25 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
thats not what i was referring to crooked. firstly, i highly doubt that ivey has the biggest bankroll of them all, but im certain his bankroll is now more than suffice for this limit at this time. what i was referring to is his track record. he used to play in the 100-200 game, and would take shots at the 400-800 when hitting a good streak, then move back down and try again. hes put his bankroll on the line quite a few times in his career. that is what i was referring to.

reubenf 02-26-2005 05:09 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you're saying there's a huge difference in skill between the players in this game?

Daniel Hoerr 02-26-2005 05:51 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
I was wondering what kind of bankroll would be sufficient to play in this game especially knowing it is against other pros. Also who in your opinion will be a long term winner and long term loser in this game? Discuss

[/ QUOTE ]

From Barry Greestien's web site

Who has won the most money in the biggest games?

As I mentioned in my analysis of them, Doyle Brunson and Chip Reese are the Arnold Palmer and Jack Nicklaus of poker. They have played in the biggest games in Las Vegas for thirty years. I have played in the biggest games available for the last decade and have probably won the most money. Poker is played for bigger stakes now, and just like on the PGA, the younger players have an opportunity to eclipse the money records of the older pros. Phil Ivey, the most talented young player around, will probably eventually pass us all in terms of career money winnings.

I've also seen Barry (or maybe it was Daniel) say somewhere that Ivey has been the most successful in the last year I believe.

crookedhat99 02-26-2005 06:26 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

So you're saying there's a huge difference in skill between the players in this game?

[/ QUOTE ]

no...

Voltron87 02-26-2005 06:37 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
OK, there's no way Ivey is playing to high for himself because he's got the biggest roll of all of them.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily.

[ QUOTE ]
And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

Aceshigh7 02-26-2005 06:47 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
This is just a guess but I would venture to say that Chip Reese, Doyle, and Johnny Chan all have at least 30 million in their bankrolls. That guess is probably on the low side.

Once again, it is only a guess based on what I have read.

crookedhat99 02-26-2005 06:52 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OK, there's no way Ivey is playing to high for himself because he's got the biggest roll of all of them.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily.

[ QUOTE ]
And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[/ QUOTE ]


uhh...yea

TStoneMBD 02-26-2005 06:59 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
i really cant see chan having any more than a couple mill at most in his roll. if you watch his emotions on the tournament of champions and the PSI:finals, its quite apparent that the money means something to him.

emil3000 02-26-2005 07:01 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OK, there's no way Ivey is playing to high for himself because he's got the biggest roll of all of them.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily.

[ QUOTE ]
And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[/ QUOTE ]


uhh...yea

[/ QUOTE ]

You're funny.

TStoneMBD 02-26-2005 07:09 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
OK, there's no way Ivey is playing to high for himself because he's got the biggest roll of all of them.

[/ QUOTE ]

Not necessarily.

[ QUOTE ]
And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

No.

[/ QUOTE ]


uhh...yea

[/ QUOTE ]

and dumb.

cwsiggy 02-26-2005 09:34 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
I heard Ivey made 20 million last year. In Gordon's book, he mentions a pro made 20+ million last year so probably Ivey.

crookedhat99 02-26-2005 10:14 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
i really cant see chan having any more than a couple mill at most in his roll. if you watch his emotions on the tournament of champions and the PSI:finals, its quite apparent that the money means something to him.

[/ QUOTE ]

Is this english?

Paluka 02-26-2005 10:14 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
What this thread needs is some more uneducated speculation.

crookedhat99 02-26-2005 10:19 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
Tstone bring some facts to the table instead of saying like...derrr I tink cchip reeese has a big roll cuzz uhh his wife is hot. You call me dumb but YOU my friend YOU are the idiot

In Paradise 03-01-2005 02:33 AM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all.

[/ QUOTE ]

That sounds pretty ridiculous to me.

rdu $teve 03-01-2005 02:48 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
OK, there's no way Ivey is playing to high for himself because he's got the biggest roll of all of them. And also, cold cards aren't going to affect these guys at all. In that game it's not about the cards.

[/ QUOTE ]

You can't outplay someone who's holding the nuts

sirtimo 03-01-2005 04:11 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
Two of Daniel Negreanu's recent blogs talk about the big game. On one day this was the lineup:

Seat 1: Chip Reese
Seat 2: Phil Ivey
Seat 3 Johnny Chan
Seat 4: Negreanu
Seat 5: Gus Hansen
Seat 6: Lee Salem
Seat 7: Doyle Brunson
Seat 8: Chau Giang

and the next day this was it:

Seat One: Negreanu
Seat Two: Johnny Chan
Seat Three: Chau Giang
Seat Four: Phil Ivey
Seat Five: Lee Salem
Seat Six: Chip Reese (followed by Gus Hansen)
Seat Seven: Lyle Berman
Seat Eight: Doyle Brunson



[/ QUOTE ]

So my question is...... who plays in these games besides the top 10-15 pros in the world? I've heard about super whales like Andy Beal that fly in sometimes but what about normal days? Seems that these guys would be passing the same money around to each other 90% of the time. How much money do you think Chip and Doyle have passed between each other over the past 20- 30 years?

Oh, another question... Todd Brunson plays there alot too correct?? I'm assuming he can hang with 'em or he wouldn't play but does he play anywhere else? Tourneys? Cash games?

regards,
Tim

frank_iii 03-01-2005 05:21 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
I heard Ivey made 20 million last year. In Gordon's book, he mentions a pro made 20+ million last year so probably Ivey.

[/ QUOTE ]

I made 2000 BB last year.

Dynasty 03-01-2005 06:09 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
[ QUOTE ]
You can't outplay someone who's holding the nuts

[/ QUOTE ]

Sure you can. You check and fold. At bare minimum, you played just as well as your opponent.

partygirluk 03-01-2005 06:15 PM

Re: The \"Big Game\" Bankrolls and EV
 
When playing a mixed game, sure it makes sense for your NL game to have smaller blinds than you limit?

Say the big game switched to $750/1500 for NL. Now they can player proper deep stacked poker, which is much better. It also equlaises the importance of the various games, which is surely one of the main purposes of a mixed game.


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