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-   -   Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=199323)

Uglyowl 02-20-2005 11:46 AM

Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
#'s from pokerpulse. I know alot of companies who would love to have a yearly growth as high as online poker's monthly growth.

# of online players and month over month growth.

September 2004/ 1,235,000/ 10.3%
October 2004/ 1,344,000/ 10.2%
November 2004/ 1,437,000/ 7.1%
December 2004/ 1,622,000/ 11.3%
January 2005/ 1,784,000/ 9.9%

Burno 02-20-2005 12:03 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Neat. I've been looking for these numbers. Any chance someone has these numbers for the rest of 2004 and 2003?

Michael Emery 02-20-2005 12:19 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Wow, those are some big numbers. Out of curiousity does anyone have what they feel is a good guess to who all these new people signing up are? Specifically do you think there more college aged kids signing up or middle aged men if you had to guess? Obviously many of both, but which one is higher?

Mike Emery

lorinda 02-20-2005 12:21 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
People 8-tabling instead of 4 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Lori

SinCityGuy 02-20-2005 12:23 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
People 8-tabling instead of 4 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Lori

[/ QUOTE ]

Ding, ding, we have a winner.

imitation 02-20-2005 12:42 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
I see more bad players than ever, both multitablers and recreational players.

Uglyowl 02-20-2005 02:36 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Active players are defined as real money players who have made a balance movement on their account in the current or preceding two quarters.

Pokerpulse then takes the amount of players at Paradise and applies a multiplier based on a percentage of active online players in the online community.

MicroBob 02-20-2005 02:58 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
I don't know if someone who played 10 hands some 5 months ago should really be considered an 'active' player.

Uglyowl 02-20-2005 03:56 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
The important thing Bob is it is comparing apples to apples. They are counting the same way and the important thing isn't the #, but probably rate of growth.

BusterStacks 02-20-2005 04:02 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
People 8-tabling instead of 4 [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

Lori

[/ QUOTE ]

Ding, ding, we have a winner.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, we sure don't. Most sites don't let you 8-table, and attributing monthly growth of 10% to the tiny percentage of people who can:

a) successfully set up a second account on another skin

b) play > 4 tables, and do

is rediculous.

lorinda 02-20-2005 04:24 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
a) successfully set up a second account on another skin

b) play > 4 tables, and do

is rediculous.


As I posted a couple of days back, there are already more people registered at 2+2 than play on Party at prime time.

I'm not sure why it's such a silly concept.

Also you can 8-table without playing just one site.

Lori

MicroBob 02-20-2005 04:25 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
I generally agree Buster. I don't think it's a bunch of 8-tablers.

but I do think some of the increase in numbers obviously has to be attributed to current online players setting up an account at a new site (not a skin).

The topic of online-poker came up in a B&M game a month or two and the two guys were chatting about it as if they only play on 1 or 2 sites. "Oh...I hadn't really heard of paradisepoker...do they have a sign-up bonus...maybe I'll try over there. All I've ever played is pokerstars. I like their tournaments."
Stuff like that.

Add in a few pseudo-bonuswhores as well as current players with accounts currently at 3 sites finally deciding to see how they like UB or pokerroom or something and I think that HAS to be considered when discussing these numbers.


It does fell like there are more and more new and distinct players coming onto the sites...but it is kind of difficult to tell just by these numbers how many new and distinct individual players are coming to online-poker.

BusterStacks 02-20-2005 04:27 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
What does that have to do with anything? You are comparing registrations to active players, which is not a fair comparison. I guarantee Party has at least 5 times as many registered accounts as 2+2. Still, it's absolutely absurd to attribute the majority of that growth to multi-tablers.

lorinda 02-20-2005 04:30 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Still, it's absolutely absurd to attribute the majority of that growth to multi-tablers.

I remember when you could go a day without someone mentioning a brown trout. These days it happens several times a day.

It may not be the majority, but it's a factor.

Lori

BusterStacks 02-20-2005 04:31 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Bob I do agree with you here. I am just trying to avoid the mentality that a lot of people get into here where just because we (2+2) see it a lot, means that it happens a lot. Among poker players, we are still a very small fraction.

lorinda 02-20-2005 04:32 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Among poker players, we are still a very small fraction.

How small would you say, as I think this is where we differ.

I'd go for 10-15% of regular players read here at least once per day.

I only three-table, but it's not rare for me to be talking to 2+2ers at every one of my tables.

Lori

BradleyT 02-20-2005 04:32 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
I never see it and I 8 table.

lorinda 02-20-2005 04:34 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
I wonder if it's limit dependent?

Lori

BusterStacks 02-20-2005 04:37 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
of regular players? I'd say an very optimistic number would be 5%.

lorinda 02-20-2005 04:38 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
of regular players? I'd say an very optimistic number would be 5%.

Okay, that's quite possible and would make a big difference to my thoughts.

Lori

BusterStacks 02-20-2005 04:42 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Well we have no way of pinpointing any type of accurate number here. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] Still, I do think that online poker is experiencing some healthy growth. Do you?

lorinda 02-20-2005 04:52 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Still, I do think that online poker is experiencing some healthy growth. Do you?

I just had a hard think about this, as there seems to be lively debate about this on a regular basis:

Yes.

I think that some of the "old school" posters have seen bigger explosions than 10% per month, and that is where the "Sky is falling" attitude seems to come from (from people such as myself)

It's a slowdown in growth rather than going backwards that comes from the fact we saw ridiculous growth at the start of the EPT and are now only experiencing very good growth.
Some of the older (in internet poker terms) have witnessed growth so large that we'll never see it again, and I suspect that messes with our (whoever 'our' might be, but I'm one of them) instincts as to how poker is still exploding.

Also 10% of 1,000,000 is bigger than 100% of 50,000 so, again, it may be a misplaced feeling there too.

Edit: WPT of course [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img], I'm english , forgive me.

Lori

jayboo 02-20-2005 05:21 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
i have set up new accounts at empire, multipoker, pokernow, intertops, pacific, and doyles room. in the month of Jan. alone. thats 6 new people

Player12345 02-20-2005 05:31 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
I guarantee Party has at least 5 times as many registered accounts as 2+2.

[/ QUOTE ]

i saw an article where they claim to have a million accounts. i don't know if that is true but for sure party has way more than 120,000 registered accts. i'd guess they have 40 times as many at least.

MicroBob 02-20-2005 06:33 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Yes...but of these regsitered accounts how many are actually 'real-money' accounts. And how many have been generally inactive for the past several months by people who gave it a try and got bored of it?


Obviously within their 1-million registered accounts there are a lot of no-shows and play-money players in there.

TheMetetron 02-20-2005 06:39 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
Obviously within their 1-million registered accounts there are a lot of no-shows and play-money players in there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Same thing goes for the registered accounts at 2+2.

Shoe 02-20-2005 06:55 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
As I posted a couple of days back, there are already more people registered at 2+2 than play on Party at prime time.



[/ QUOTE ]

How many of those users are still active, and when is the last time we had 65k users logged on at the same time here at 2+2?

We are still a small fraction of poker base, however, it is possible that the 2+2 community might be growing faster (percentage wise) than some of the larger sites now. I have no idea what the numbers are so I can't say.

lorinda 02-20-2005 07:23 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
How many of those users are still active, and when is the last time we had 65k users logged on at the same time here at 2+2?

Although I take your point, last time I looked (either one or two days ago, it's in a thread somewhere) Party was at about 18500 real money seats at peak, and I think you can give an average of 2 seats per player, which takes it further down to about 10k.

Compare that to the 528 on here right now, and this is several hours short of peak time, and you'll see where I got my 10-15% from.

Lori

mmbt0ne 02-20-2005 07:30 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
</font><blockquote><font class="small">En réponse à:</font><hr />
</font><blockquote><font class="small">En réponse à:</font><hr />
Obviously within their 1-million registered accounts there are a lot of no-shows and play-money players in there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Same thing goes for the registered accounts at 2+2.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seriously. We have so many trolls, and gimmick accounts, I'd be surprised if we have more than 7k-8k even semi-regular contributors.

Player12345 02-20-2005 07:42 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
Party was at about 18500 real money seats at peak,

[/ QUOTE ]

Lori, where can i find numbers like this? is this a pokerpulse thing? i see 60,000 logged on now and i am curious if that is only for party and how to see how many of them are real money. i don't have any skins installed so i can't even see if the 60,000 includes those. i'm going to finally DL empire tomorrow but i was just curious and can't cross check.

thx

lorinda 02-20-2005 07:44 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
I got those from pokerpulse.

I admit I didn't include tourneys, which is actually probably a similar number, and I haven't read their selection methods.

Buster's 5% is starting to look better to be honest.

On 2+2 you can find from "Who's online" the number of registered and unregistered users.

Lori

Player12345 02-20-2005 07:46 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
ok, thanks. i think pokerpulse is confusing but i have not really given it a long look.

lorinda 02-20-2005 07:46 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Just looked again.

Tourney players is a little higher than ring players, so for the third time this week, I suck.

Lori

TheMetetron 02-20-2005 07:46 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Then take into account the number of people who read here, but to be honest aren't the greatest players in the world or are just starting out. I do think that Busters 5% is a very optimistic number.

lorinda 02-20-2005 07:47 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
If you stick to the #RP figure for each site, that's the number of ring game players at the time that you look.

All the rest becomes easy if you start with that one.

Lori

Player12345 02-20-2005 07:50 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
ok, that makes sense now.

wow, confusion gone. ty

lorinda 02-20-2005 07:50 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Then take into account the number of people who read here, but to be honest aren't the greatest players in the world or are just starting out. I do think that Busters 5% is a very optimistic number.

At the time of this post:

574 people reading 2+2
14578 ring game seats occupied at Party/Skins
18936 tourney game seats occupied at Party/Skins.

We could debate all night about the average tables/player but I think around 2 is fair, as even many casual players play 2 tables.

This doesn't fall massively short of the 5% figure, but of course not all 2+2ers play Party.

Lori

MicroBob 02-20-2005 07:58 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
so for the third time this week, I suck.

[/ QUOTE ]



Dare I ask what the first two times were?

Jim T 02-20-2005 08:04 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
As I posted a couple of days back, there are already more people registered at 2+2 than play on Party at prime time.



[/ QUOTE ]

How many of those users are still active, and when is the last time we had 65k users logged on at the same time here at 2+2?

We are still a small fraction of poker base, however, it is possible that the 2+2 community might be growing faster (percentage wise) than some of the larger sites now. I have no idea what the numbers are so I can't say.

[/ QUOTE ]

From the main forums page:

[ QUOTE ]
Max users online was 872 @ 02/07/05 03:33 PM

[/ QUOTE ]

As of now (7 PM Eastern), we have 560 people on the site.

Note that these numbers include a large percentage of non-registered people.

lorinda 02-20-2005 08:07 PM

Re: Online poker is still thriving....BIGTIME
 
Dare I ask what the first two times were?

One was a skewed sample of people that I know who have stopped watching poker on tv compared to those who started (Although a lot of people started again last night after a few IM's got sent) [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

The other was thinking that it was just one Prima skin running the channel 226 live show games.

Edit: I'll go back to researching and thinking before I post, it worked better that way.

Lori


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