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-   -   River decision (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=395477)

12-10-2005 09:53 AM

River decision
 
I sat down a few hands ago, but pokertracker tells me that villain is very loose, with moderate aggression. So, river decision-time.

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

SB ($61.35)
BB ($39.25)
UTG ($198)
MP ($244)
CO ($380.52)
Hero ($245.70)

Preflop: Hero is Button with T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. SB posts a blind of $1.
UTG calls $2, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $10</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, UTG calls $8.

Flop: ($23) A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $17</font>, UTG calls $17.

Turn: ($57) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

River: ($57) J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $35</font>, <font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to $70</font>, Hero...

Dumle

lehighguy 12-10-2005 10:08 AM

Re: River decision
 
From what you wrote sounds like he is your typical party $200NL fish right?

If so I say pop-em, especially if your being as aggressive as your preflop raise leads me to believe. Fish pay off on far more occasions then they have the goods.

FlyingStart 12-10-2005 11:16 AM

Re: River decision
 
This wakeup is odd (I wouldn't be terribly surprized to see A5 here from a bad player).. When bad players make odd raises on the river warning bells goes off in my head, especially if he is moderately aggressive.

If villain is bad enough to consider AJ as the nuts here tho, you might stack him. Another possibility is 5x, slowplayed until "just the right time" ofcourse. Read-dependant, but atleast call.

jkkkk 12-10-2005 11:18 AM

Re: River decision
 
I'm not crazy about pf, but meh.

Call the river.

12-10-2005 12:42 PM

Re: River decision
 
I'm not crazy about pf, but meh.

Isolating here is a no-brainer, IMO.

Call the river.

You don't even consider pushing? How come?

Dumle

12-10-2005 12:44 PM

Re: River decision
 
This wakeup is odd (I wouldn't be terribly surprized to see A5 here from a bad player).. When bad players make odd raises on the river warning bells goes off in my head, especially if he is moderately aggressive.

Exactly what I was thinking. I usually try to get as much money in with straights and flushes against poor opponents, even on paired boards, because I know they can't let go of trips. But this check-raise really threw me off.

Dumle

12-10-2005 12:48 PM

Re: River decision
 
From what you wrote sounds like he is your typical party $200NL fish right?

Pretty much, yeah.

If so I say pop-em, especially if your being as aggressive as your preflop raise leads me to believe. Fish pay off on far more occasions then they have the goods.

You don't think his check-raise is somewhat odd here? I really have no idea what his hand range could be, since I see this move so seldom.

Dumle

jkkkk 12-10-2005 12:57 PM

Re: River decision
 
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not crazy about pf, but meh.

Isolating here is a no-brainer, IMO.

Call the river.

You don't even consider pushing? How come?

Dumle

[/ QUOTE ]

So your isolating because 'pokertracker tells me'. I believe you should only isolate if you've seen villain play bad enough poker for yourself.

Anyhow, villians line here is synonymous with 5x, so I call.

12-10-2005 04:29 PM

Re: River decision
 
So your isolating because 'pokertracker tells me'. I believe you should only isolate if you've seen villain play bad enough poker for yourself.

Someone with stats 50/10/1 over a couple of hundred hands very rarely plays good poker. You are missing up on a lot of money if you don't target these.

Anyhow, villians line here is synonymous with 5x, so I call.

If you think that is his hand, and you think he will call with it (and he very likely will), a push would be the correct play.

Dumle

ninjia3x 12-10-2005 04:31 PM

Re: River decision
 
pretty easy call i think.

JupiterUWG 12-10-2005 04:57 PM

Re: River decision
 
hero calls w/o thinking twice, but doesn't raise because villian has A5 or absolute trash

12-10-2005 10:23 PM

Results
 
I pushed and he called with K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MHIG.

Dumle

yvesaint 12-10-2005 10:27 PM

Re: Results
 
[ QUOTE ]
I pushed and he called with K [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MHIG.

Dumle

[/ QUOTE ]

man i hope he never realizes a lone A beats him here [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

BobboFitos 12-10-2005 10:30 PM

Re: River decision
 
This will sound funny, but in this spot I never isolate UTG, I generally would over limp.

Villain doesnt have J5 or AA, KK, or JJ. You say he's loose, but K5 limp/calling is unlikely. just one combination of 55, so it's a matter of did he check three streets with a flop boat?

I normally shove here, although maybe calling is better. River c/r are so weird

Malachii 12-10-2005 11:50 PM

Re: River decision
 
I'd push.

12-11-2005 10:36 AM

Re: River decision
 
Overall pushing is -ev here since usually only A5 is going to play a hand like this and then call a push (based on how the hand was played). But this is 200 NL so... Nice one. (5x with QT off? yikes...)

FlyingStart 12-11-2005 10:44 AM

Re: River decision
 
If villain is bad enough to play 5x or AJ like this he is calling a push too...


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