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-   -   Blind steal with 88: this look OK? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=394697)

GMan42 12-09-2005 02:59 AM

Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
Villain is about 25/20/3.75 over limited hands FWIW.


Party Poker 1/2 Hold'em (10 handed) converter

Preflop: Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">7 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB 3-bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero caps</font>, BB calls.

Flop: (8.50 SB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, BB calls.

Turn: (5.25 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, BB calls.

River: (9.25 BB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
BB checks, Hero checks.

Final Pot: 9.25 BB

cold_cash 12-09-2005 03:35 AM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
I think you can bet the river.

McGahee 12-09-2005 09:43 AM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think you can bet the river.

[/ QUOTE ]

imported_The Vibesman 12-09-2005 10:45 AM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
I'd bet the river. He's shown he can be overaggressive, even in limited hands.

12-09-2005 10:58 AM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
One question, why did you name the thread blind steal? Raising with 88 when folded around to me is standard. At least to me...

DCWildcat 12-09-2005 03:09 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
Good cap PF. Well played, except value bet the river.

More importantly, find a new table.

12-09-2005 03:16 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
[ QUOTE ]
One question, why did you name the thread blind steal? Raising with 88 when folded around to me is standard. At least to me...

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree. You're not raising just to steal the blinds, but because you probably have the best hand. The raise is for value.

@bsolute_luck 12-09-2005 03:36 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
i'm just happy to see the preflop cap. that is a thing of beauty. not many people have the balls, but i think it is a brilliant play.

car ramrod 12-09-2005 03:36 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
you played this very well until teh river.

Johnnyj580 12-09-2005 04:59 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you played this very well until teh river.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree, what value does he have in betting this river? We know the Villian is a 25/20 and aggressive but what true value is he getting from betting the riv? The only plausible hands the Villian is paying him off with are a,rag (which paired) or 77.

cold_cash 12-09-2005 06:55 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
[ QUOTE ]
The only plausible hands the Villian is paying him off with are a,rag (which paired) or 77.


[/ QUOTE ]

And this is probably what he has, so bet.

(Also, don't be surprised to get called by AK on occasion.)

12-09-2005 06:58 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you played this very well until teh river.

[/ QUOTE ]

I disagree, what value does he have in betting this river? We know the Villian is a 25/20 and aggressive but what true value is he getting from betting the riv? The only plausible hands the Villian is paying him off with are a,rag (which paired) or 77.

[/ QUOTE ]

you must be joking. this river is an easy value bet. any 2x, 3x, 4x, 6x, Ax, or 77 is paying him off here.

ajm36 12-09-2005 07:10 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
[ QUOTE ]
you must be joking. this river is an easy value bet. any 2x, 3x, 4x, 6x, Ax, or 77 is paying him off here.



[/ QUOTE ]

Hero is paying 3x off [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]--but I agree with the rest.

12-09-2005 08:25 PM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
oops... replace 3x with 5x... i didnt remember the post

GMan42 12-10-2005 12:50 AM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
Thanks all for the replies...Villain did indeed turn over an unimproved AK, so I wouldn't have been surprised if he donated one more bet on the river. The Q was scary enough for me to wuss out, though.

P.S. I called it a "blind steal" hand just because that's the position I was in and how my opponent probably saw it...obviously first-in LP with 88 the raise is for value.

12-10-2005 01:00 AM

Re: Blind steal with 88: this look OK?
 
First time I've ever said "grunch."

It seems to me that if you're confident that you are ahead on the turn, you should value bet the river. Since the read is only over limited hands, though, it's tough to comment on the turn. I think I'd do the same thing, but I'd have to know better what the villain would 3 bet preflop with to feel really comfortable about it.


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