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-   -   Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=400957)

YoureToast 12-18-2005 08:31 PM

Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
Atlanta Total o14 -115 (WWTS)
(I think Atlanta scores more than 14 3 out of 4 games)
Atlanta -18 +1500 (WWTS)
(I think Atlanta blows Chicago out at least once every fifteen times).

I think the value in the Atlanta over figure is better; but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

Edit: I could not find any Warrick Dunn props. If anyone finds any lines on Warrick Dunn rushing, please let me know. I'm guessing there will be great value there. Any props on Vick I'd be interested in seeing as well.

WackityWhiz 12-18-2005 08:40 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
sportsbook has these:

Michael Vick (Falcons) What Will He Throw First - Must Play
TD -115
INT -115


Michael Vick (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

14.5 -115 both ways

Warrick Dunn (Falcons) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards

93.5 -115 both ways

YoureToast 12-18-2005 08:49 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
[ QUOTE ]
sportsbook has these:

Michael Vick (Falcons) What Will He Throw First - Must Play
TD -115
INT -115


Michael Vick (Falcons) Total Completions - Must Play

14.5 -115 both ways

Warrick Dunn (Falcons) Total Rushing + Receiving Yards

93.5 -115 both ways

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks.

93.5 is good. Based on the Pittsburg game, I would expect Atlanta to throw more passes to their running backs than normal. Its not a fantastic value though. I was hoping for a more pure rushing prop for Dunn, or Vick.

I don't see any value in either Vick passing props.

TheRover 12-18-2005 08:59 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
bodog...

ESPN Sunday Night Football, December 18th (8:35pm) Total Rushing and Passing Yards (ATL vs CHI)

* Preview

Player must play for wager to have action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime count towards wager. No Parlays. Max $300
Michael Vick (ATL) Ov. 226½ Rushing + Passing Yards

+110
Michael Vick (ATL) Un. 226½ Rushing + Passing Yards

-150
ESPN Sunday Night Football, December 18th (8:35pm) Total Pass Completions (ATL vs CHI)

* Preview

Player must play for wager to have action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime count towards wager. No Parlays. Max $300
Michael Vick (ATL) Ov. 14½ Pass Completions

-115
Michael Vick (ATL) Un. 14½ Pass Completions

-125
ESPN Sunday Night Football, December 18th (8:35pm) Total Rushing Yards (ATL vs CHI)

* Preview

Player must play for wager to have action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime count towards wager. No Parlays. Max $300
Warrick Dunn (ATL) Ov. 83½ Rushing Yards

EVEN
Warrick Dunn (ATL) Un. 83½ Rushing Yards

-140
ESPN Sunday Night Football, December 18th (8:35pm) Total Receiving Yards (ATL vs CHI)

* Preview

Player must play for wager to have action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime count towards wager. No Parlays. Max $300
Alge Crumpler (ATL) Ov. 58½ Receiving Yards

-120
Alge Crumpler (ATL) Un. 58½ Receiving Yards

-120
ESPN Sunday Night Football, December 18th (8:35pm) Total Pass Receptions (ATL vs CHI)

* Preview

Player must play for wager to have action. Game must go 55 minutes for action. Overtime count towards wager. No Parlays. Max $300
Michael Jenkins (ATL) Ov. 3 Pass Receptions

+105
Michael Jenkins (ATL) Un. 3 Pass Receptions

-145

YoureToast 12-18-2005 09:03 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
Thanks. I suspected Dunn's OU rushing to be lower. I don't see any value at 83.

12-18-2005 09:11 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm even on the day!...

YoureToast 12-18-2005 09:18 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm even on the day!...

[/ QUOTE ]

I loaded up on Wash due to you and Fezz. Also loaded up on Jags due to you and other sources.
The day woulda been sick if not for Vikings and Lions. I shouldn't have ignored all recommendations on the Lions.

12-18-2005 09:22 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm even on the day!...

[/ QUOTE ]

I loaded up on Wash due to you and Fezz. Also loaded up on Jags due to you and other sources.
The day woulda been sick if not for Vikings and Lions. I shouldn't have ignored all recommendations on the Lions.

[/ QUOTE ]

Jags? didn't bet em

12-18-2005 09:23 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
WSEX has:
WARRICK DUNN +6.5 +150
THOMAS JONES -6.5 -180

i took Dunn... but just cause i plan to get drunk while watching this.

YoureToast 12-18-2005 09:24 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm even on the day!...

[/ QUOTE ]

I loaded up on Wash due to you and Fezz. Also loaded up on Jags due to you and other sources.
The day woulda been sick if not for Vikings and Lions. I shouldn't have ignored all recommendations on the Lions.

[/ QUOTE ]

Jags? didn't bet em

[/ QUOTE ]

Neither did I. Meant Titans.

12-18-2005 09:27 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
but the price on the blowout line is just too juicy to pass up (especially given the day I've had (Thanks to Syg and Fezz)

[/ QUOTE ]

hey wait, I'm even on the day!...

[/ QUOTE ]

I loaded up on Wash due to you and Fezz. Also loaded up on Jags due to you and other sources.
The day woulda been sick if not for Vikings and Lions. I shouldn't have ignored all recommendations on the Lions.

[/ QUOTE ]

Jags? didn't bet em

[/ QUOTE ]

Neither did I. Meant Titans.

[/ QUOTE ]

oh yeah, nice. Terrible start to that game but then they ran off 24 straight.

12-18-2005 09:39 PM

Re: Atlanta @ Chicago: Props I Like
 
I don't play props much. Had a very good day today hitting a 6 team teaser that was reducted to 5 team with one pust and 5 wins.
Also finished up an 8 team parlay using a system of college teams who are -550 through -850 who are more than 11.5 favorites on the sides. I'm now 4-0 on these and the pay is 3 to 1.. Lucky though I'm sure it will swing soon.
Awesome day but can't decide on tonights game so going to

bet 1/6th a unit on 6 props

No on same team scoring 3 consecutive time +122
Longest touch down under 31.5 +109
Shortest touchdown over 1.5 yards -132
Falcons -4.5 points +295
over 37.5 +211
7½ pts +460

Plus 3/4 of a unit on
Atlanta Over 14 points -115


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