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-   -   do you often make a play like this with a small pair? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=374672)

Adam22 11-08-2005 11:27 PM

do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
villian is 37.4/6.81/.97

my thinking on the flop: he probably doesn't have a pair yet.

my thinking on the turn: oh what the [censored]

my thinking on the river: thats better



Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">MP2 raises</font>, <font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, UTG calls, Hero calls.

Flop: (7.40 SB) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
UTG checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 calls, UTG folds.

Turn: (4.70 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 calls.

River: (6.70 BB) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, MP2 folds.

Final Pot: 7.70 BB

11-08-2005 11:31 PM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
I usually reraise with small PP's to isolate, obviously in this situation it wouldn't have worked. The rest of the hand is out of my jurisdiction.

shark6 11-08-2005 11:32 PM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
Check/fold flop.

Adam22 11-08-2005 11:34 PM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Check/fold flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

i almost always do that but i feel like i miss out a lot of times when i have the best hands, especially when the aggressor PF is very loose and could be raising a lot of trashy hands.

SeaEagle 11-09-2005 12:20 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
What were your thoughts behind the river bet?

thesharpie 11-09-2005 12:21 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
Check the flop and fold if you have to overcall, and either raise or call if the other guy gets out. If I called I'd donk the turn on a safe card. If I check/raise I'm folding to any more agression.

The flop donk doesn't really do anything unless you know he'll raise with overcards often, he's usually calling when you have him beat and you're not protecting your hand, or he's raising when he has you beat and you're not protecting your hand. Sometimes he might raise with a hand you're ahead of and you have to fold it since he won't do it often enough for you to call down. All you do is waste money when the other guys call or check/raises or when the PFRer raises with a worse hand.

There's also another obvious situation apart fromm if he'll raise with overcards when the flop donk is best, when the PFRer won't auto bet the flop, but since there's no reads we can assume most people will bet it 3 handed when shown weakness.

Edit: I'd check/fold the turn since the only hand you're ahead of is Kx and I don't think 7% PFR guys raise many Kx hands PF. I could be wrong, though, if he'd raise KQo and KJs then I like a bet. I'd be more likelty to donk the turn if I check/called the flop since you have the added equity he might fold a pocket pair lower than aces, he's probably not going to put you on an ace when you donked the flop.

Alex/Mugaaz 11-09-2005 12:53 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
What were your thoughts behind the river bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

TripleH68 11-09-2005 12:58 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
It is doubtful the villain folded a better hand here.

Adam22 11-09-2005 12:59 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What were your thoughts behind the river bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

i thought he probably had overcards and when the ace came i figured he might have hit one of his overcards but i bet anyway because if i didn't he would have auto-bet and i would have had to fold. i bet anyway figuring he'd raise if he had an ace and he didn't. that left me relatively clueless as to what he had but when the second ace came down it obviously made it less likely that he had an ace ( and keep in mind i would have folded to any raise along the way ). there's probably something wrong with my line of thought here and i definetly wouldn't mind having it pointed out regardless of how the hand played out.

SeaEagle 11-09-2005 01:09 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
there's probably something wrong with my line of thought here and i definetly wouldn't mind having it pointed out regardless of how the hand played out.


[/ QUOTE ]
The river A doesn't change a thing. If you were ahead on the turn you're still ahead, and vice versa. The flop offered both flush and straight draws and either villian missed a draw or he's winning and not folding.

I think this river is almost a perfect instance of where you want to check/call and hopefully induce a bluff if you're ahead, while limiting your loss to a single bet if you're behind.

W. Deranged 11-09-2005 01:09 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
I think the flop bet is fine here. Hero's hand is good a pretty high percentage of the time on a T high flop. Villain basically has to just have any non-pair hand and BB has to have missed as well.

We are giving reverse implied odds here, as villain may have a draw in addition to overcards and so on. But in a decent pot I think it's not good to give up here too early.

I think betting into the pre-flop raiser and check-calling then donking a safe turn are both acceptable options here. Betting has the nice effect of encouraging the pre-flop raiser to raise and force out the BB, and also gains initiative, value, etc... Check-calling then donking is nice because we invest less when a bad card hits on the turn, spew less against better made hands (we probably need to stop'n'go a safe turn if we bet into the pre-flop raiser and are raised on the flop), and so forth.

I think the turn bet may be kind of bad though. You are really only beating exactly KJ and KQ at this point, and both have a ton of outs to beat you anyway. I think it's fine to check and fold at this point. Sometimes villain will check behind the turn anyway and you might win when villain has KQ or KJ that way.

River bet is spewing. Villain folds here basically if and only if he has an inferior hand. Betting to try to fold out 66-88 is silly.

11-09-2005 01:30 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think the flop bet is fine here. Hero's hand is good a pretty high percentage of the time on a T high flop. Villain basically has to just have any non-pair hand and BB has to have missed as well.

We are giving reverse implied odds here, as villain may have a draw in addition to overcards and so on. But in a decent pot I think it's not good to give up here too early.

I think betting into the pre-flop raiser and check-calling then donking a safe turn are both acceptable options here. Betting has the nice effect of encouraging the pre-flop raiser to raise and force out the BB, and also gains initiative, value, etc... Check-calling then donking is nice because we invest less when a bad card hits on the turn, spew less against better made hands (we probably need to stop'n'go a safe turn if we bet into the pre-flop raiser and are raised on the flop), and so forth.

I think the turn bet may be kind of bad though. You are really only beating exactly KJ and KQ at this point, and both have a ton of outs to beat you anyway. I think it's fine to check and fold at this point. Sometimes villain will check behind the turn anyway and you might win when villain has KQ or KJ that way.

River bet is spewing. Villain folds here basically if and only if he has an inferior hand. Betting to try to fold out 66-88 is silly.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree except I think the turn bet is the right play. If you get raised you can drop your hand easily, but if you check it is likely that your opponent will take a stab and you will lose the pot the a bluff. After he cals the turn, you have to check-call the river to try to pick off a busted straight draw.

Adam22 11-09-2005 01:44 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think the flop bet is fine here. Hero's hand is good a pretty high percentage of the time on a T high flop. Villain basically has to just have any non-pair hand and BB has to have missed as well.

We are giving reverse implied odds here, as villain may have a draw in addition to overcards and so on. But in a decent pot I think it's not good to give up here too early.

I think betting into the pre-flop raiser and check-calling then donking a safe turn are both acceptable options here. Betting has the nice effect of encouraging the pre-flop raiser to raise and force out the BB, and also gains initiative, value, etc... Check-calling then donking is nice because we invest less when a bad card hits on the turn, spew less against better made hands (we probably need to stop'n'go a safe turn if we bet into the pre-flop raiser and are raised on the flop), and so forth.

I think the turn bet may be kind of bad though. You are really only beating exactly KJ and KQ at this point, and both have a ton of outs to beat you anyway. I think it's fine to check and fold at this point. Sometimes villain will check behind the turn anyway and you might win when villain has KQ or KJ that way.

River bet is spewing. Villain folds here basically if and only if he has an inferior hand. Betting to try to fold out 66-88 is silly.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree except I think the turn bet is the right play. If you get raised you can drop your hand easily, but if you check it is likely that your opponent will take a stab and you will lose the pot the a bluff. After he cals the turn, you have to check-call the river to try to pick off a busted straight draw.

[/ QUOTE ]

i thought the bet wass better than the check/call because i

a) win when he decides to throw his hand away even if it beats me

b) can easily fold if i get re-raised ( he'd only be bluffing there a tiny percentage of the time i think if he reraised )

c) still gets value for my hand if for some reason he calls with a tiny pocket pair or K high or something.

Alex/Mugaaz 11-09-2005 01:49 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
What were your thoughts behind the river bet?

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

i thought he probably had overcards and when the ace came i figured he might have hit one of his overcards but i bet anyway because if i didn't he would have auto-bet and i would have had to fold. i bet anyway figuring he'd raise if he had an ace and he didn't. that left me relatively clueless as to what he had but when the second ace came down it obviously made it less likely that he had an ace ( and keep in mind i would have folded to any raise along the way ). there's probably something wrong with my line of thought here and i definetly wouldn't mind having it pointed out regardless of how the hand played out.

[/ QUOTE ]

EV of betting when no worse hands calls, but better hands raise (or call) = -1.0
EV of calling when there is any chance of a bluff = &lt; -1.0

Pog0 11-09-2005 02:00 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
why not check/raise the flop? Folding it utg doesn't fold between you.

einbert 11-09-2005 03:42 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
Betting the river is bad, only worse hand he can have is a busted draw (and occasionally a split pair of threes). Check it and if he bets, decide if your pot odds are good enough to call.

einbert 11-09-2005 03:56 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 

Yeah there are some other problems with this hand too. You need to check the flop, betting only gives him a chance to push you off your hand if your hand is bet, and gives you a chance to waste a bet when you could have saved one (when the flop goes bet-call or worse).

On the turn, you are no longer running a "marginal value play", you are now running a "stone bluff." And you are running a stone bluff OOP into a pfr on a very drawy, ace high board. The turn should be check/folded.


I think you should start trying to think more about "why am I making this bet, what is it going to accomplish" when you bet instead of continuing to push just because you have the initiative.

By the way I really like your posts, the thread in Internet forum that was supposed to be about collusion was one of the funniest things I had read in a long time before Mike Haven came and screwed it all up. Keep posting! And give Other Other Topics a try too, I think you would enjoy it there.

Adam22 11-09-2005 04:53 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]

Yeah there are some other problems with this hand too. You need to check the flop, betting only gives him a chance to push you off your hand if your hand is bet, and gives you a chance to waste a bet when you could have saved one (when the flop goes bet-call or worse).

On the turn, you are no longer running a "marginal value play", you are now running a "stone bluff." And you are running a stone bluff OOP into a pfr on a very drawy, ace high board. The turn should be check/folded.


I think you should start trying to think more about "why am I making this bet, what is it going to accomplish" when you bet instead of continuing to push just because you have the initiative.

By the way I really like your posts, the thread in Internet forum that was supposed to be about collusion was one of the funniest things I had read in a long time before Mike Haven came and screwed it all up. Keep posting! And give Other Other Topics a try too, I think you would enjoy it there.

[/ QUOTE ]

LOL yeah that thread was pretty much gayer than words can explain, thanks.

i've gotten into the habit of posting hands that confuse or interest me because i figure its money in the bank long term.

mtdoak 11-09-2005 09:43 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
I don't mind it as long as every street is 'bet/fold' and 'bet/fold'. Though, Check/calling the river is an option as well, as its a classic 'induce the bluff' when he has king high.

ErrantNight 11-09-2005 11:18 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
nicely put

ErrantNight 11-09-2005 11:19 AM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
what hand that you beat is villain throwing away on the turn?

11-09-2005 12:23 PM

Re: do you often make a play like this with a small pair?
 
[ QUOTE ]
I think the flop bet is fine here. Hero's hand is good a pretty high percentage of the time on a T high flop. Villain basically has to just have any non-pair hand and BB has to have missed as well

[/ QUOTE ]

This flop is way too coordinated to take a shot at. Somebody likes it.


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