So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
Both villains are mostly unknown. Neither has done anything particularly noteworthy over the 10 or 15 hands I've seen.
A few hands earlier (or was it last hand?) BB 3-bet me out of the SB with 77, so we know she's capable of pre-flop aggression. They're both shortstacked, so we know they're not that good. Party Poker 5/10 Hold'em (6 max, 6 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is MP with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO 3-bets</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, BB calls, Hero calls. I will often cap here. At the moment, I wasn't so confident in my folding equity and I decided to see the flop for 3 bets instead. Flop: (9.40 SB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>... I think I probably should have raised this initial bet. But again, I had recently made a move against BB that had been snapped off (with the aforementioned 77) and I was pretty sure I needed to make a hand to win this and figured I might as well see what developed. Ok, I admit it, I was feeling greedy too. ...Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises</font>, <font color="#CC3333">BB 3-bets</font>, Hero calls, <font color="#CC3333">CO caps</font>, BB calls, Hero calls. Ok, now I figure there's some chance I might be up against a flopped flush and 3 Queens. I really hope the river doesn't pair after I turn a diamond! Turn: (10.70 BB) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>... Both players are now down to their last bets. Well, you can't bluff someone who's all in... ...Hero calls, CO calls $2 (All-In). I really hope the diamond I'm about to river isn't the 6... River: (12.90 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players, 1 all-in)</font> <font color="#CC3333">BB bets $0.15 (All-In)</font> and Hero makes a crying call using this: http://www.decisionproblem.com/weep.jpg Final Pot: 12.93 BB I'm not crazy about how I played the rest of this hand, but I'm pretty sure this call is seriously +EV. <font color="white">Can you guess the surprise ending?</font> /mc |
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
I think a PF cap and flop raise should both be automatic given the situations. No room for metagame stuff. Nice river call.
|
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
fold the river, I don't think you are good here often enough. You need to be winning 0.1% of the time for this call to be +EV
|
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
[ QUOTE ]
I think a PF cap and flop raise should both be automatic given the situations. No room for metagame stuff. [/ QUOTE ] Agreed. I went tharn. /mc |
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
you dont cap PF for folding equity, you do it for value
|
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
my two cents:
the river is -EV (i don't care if it's 860-1), though it may be close. (joke might as well call) raising the turn all-in is +EV. |
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
[ QUOTE ]
my two cents: the river is -EV (i don't care if it's 860-1), though it may be close. [/ QUOTE ] You're kidding, right? You realize, of course, that I dragged this pot. I know results don't matter and everything, but still the fact that it did happen means that it can happen! [ QUOTE ] raising the turn all-in is +EV. [/ QUOTE ] I'm not sure I see that. How do you figure? /mc |
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
what if it was a full bet to u, do u call the river?
|
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
[ QUOTE ]
You're kidding, right? You realize, of course, that I dragged this pot. I know results don't matter and everything, but still the fact that it did happen means that it can happen! [/ QUOTE ] technically speaking, it doesn't mean that it happens as often as 1/860 of the time. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] good job dragging it though. [ QUOTE ] I'm not sure I see that. How do you figure? [/ QUOTE ] you are still drawing to the nuts, and you are asked to put in 1.015 BB. if calling is +EV, then raising is as well. |
Re: So the pot is laying me 860 to 1...
[ QUOTE ]
what if it was a full bet to u, do u call the river? [/ QUOTE ] Alas, no. But at 860:1 I would have called with Jack high (Jack high!)... and won. /mc |
All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:26 AM. |
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.