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-   -   PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=392702)

MicroBob 12-07-2005 04:31 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
yeah. i read it too quickly.

my apologies....that $200 bit threw me I guess.

AngusThermopyle 12-07-2005 05:33 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
From their page:

Each player who answers ALL 40 questions correctly will share a GRAND PRIZE of $1,000,000!

Is [Ain't] the lottery. Each 40 for 40 person gets {a share of } the million.

Edited for my utter lack of reading comprehension. Duh.

Assuming all 70:30 picks:

The Biggie:

40 out of 40 is roughly 1 in a million (think 20 out of 20 on a 50:50 pick, which is 1 in 2 to 20th ). So EV of $1

Weekly:
5 out of 5 is roughly 1 in 6. Pays $100. EV of $16. For 8 weeks. Say $128.

4 out of 5 is roughly 1 in 2.75. Pays $50. EV of $18. For 8 weeks. Say $144.

So, if all the questions are 70:30 (doubtful, since there are only 4 more weeks of regular season [with lopsided games] to go, then 4 weeks of post-season play with less lopsided games), is the promo that bad for someone who normally plays at Party?

[[ hope all my math is right [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] ]]

grjr 12-07-2005 05:37 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
[ QUOTE ]
From their page:

Each player who answers ALL 40 questions correctly will share a GRAND PRIZE of $1,000,000!

Ain't the lottery. Each 40 for 40 person gets the million.



[/ QUOTE ]

Did you miss the word "share" there? I take that to mean if there are two or more winners (yeah right)then they split the million.

Sniper 12-07-2005 05:42 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
Party is preparing everyone for when its adds a sportsbook next year... stay tuned! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Action Scott 12-07-2005 05:53 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
[ QUOTE ]
Party is preparing everyone for when its adds a sportsbook next year... stay tuned! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
Might be a distinct possibility.

Losing all 12-07-2005 06:13 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
[ QUOTE ]
Party is preparing everyone for when its adds a sportsbook next year... stay tuned! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

That's what I was thinking. Hopefully they'll have some retarted +ev bonuses

IggyWH 12-07-2005 06:28 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
[ QUOTE ]
What they should have done was make the first 4 questions simple and then make the 5th one something like chosing who would win a certain game.

[/ QUOTE ]

You, sir, are smart. That is a wonderful idea.

Too bad the people at Party aren't that smart themselves. Even make the last question 5 or 6 possible answers would have been a great move.

w_alloy 12-07-2005 06:33 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
The chance they have to give out the million is less then one percent. Assume 10,000 people answer all 40 (probably way high) and that each person's average answer has a 60% chance of being right (remember people arent always going to pick the best answer, and many questions will be toss ups).

(1-(.6^40))^10,000 is .99999, so assuming i remembered the formula right and my assumptions are close party only has to pay out the million one out of 100,000.

Enjoy!

arod4276 12-07-2005 06:39 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
you are very very very wrong. the odds of going 40/40 are alot more than 1/ 100,000..40/ 40 IS basically impossible

wonderwes 12-07-2005 07:06 PM

Re: PartyPoker.com’s $1,000,000 Touchdown Promotion
 
[ QUOTE ]
This game is at the Alamodome here so the Saints will have a pretty big crowd pulling for them for a change. Might be enough to pull the upset.

[/ QUOTE ]

Incorrect. The Monday night game will be played in Atlanta at the Georgia dome.

Be thankful you dont have to pick the point spread.


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