Re: Party Super Musings
 

Wow, this is great work and fascinating.

I might have asked Shaniac before I posted for the world to see though.

Here are my observations:

Shaniac is gambling hard until 1/2 the field is eliminated. (More erratic results >55%)

It's amazing that his chances of going out in the middle of the tournament are the same as the 90% range and every other range inbetween. He must be playing alot of rebuys (deep stack), because short stacked play would reflect alot of coin tosses and show decreasing survival rates no matter how good you were. He is also maintaining a healthy stack to reflect those rates and must be winning lots of small pots.

Shaniac is by far the strongest at the end of the tournament, when stacks are short, and big money is figuing into everyone's considerations.

Clearly a world-class online player.

Re: Party Super Musings
 

The shorthanded game is different, it would be nice to have a breakdown for the last 18 spots as well.

There isn't that much of a difference though other than the shorthanded aspect.

There is a big difference in money won. But those results are more reflective of luck.