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-   -   10/20 AK preflop (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=397448)

Chris Daddy Cool 12-13-2005 04:46 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
AK is a drawing dead hand.

-Michael

[/ QUOTE ]

fixed your post

DiamondDave 12-13-2005 06:59 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
Good fold.

Klepton 12-13-2005 07:08 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
i bet you anything MP2 had 97s. i would have called this cap.

position + AK = thanks.

Shillx 12-13-2005 07:42 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
Fold. AKs looks pretty close as does a hand like 65s. Give me 4:1 and I'll play those hands all day long. AKo isn't really close IMO.

Evan 12-13-2005 07:51 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Fold. AKs looks pretty close as does a hand like 65s.

[/ QUOTE ]
I can't tell if this is a joke.

Shillx 12-13-2005 07:57 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
No it isn't. Equity is a pretty good measure of hand strength, so let's see what comes up when we plug 65s into the equation. We are about 3:1 against flopping a money making hand (on average if you played it out an infinate number of times) with it. Even if you just play for the home run, it looks like an easy call getting 4:1 preflop. 3:1 probably isn't enough to call preflop though.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 18.0095 % 17.06% 00.95% { 88+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 2: 28.6597 % 26.31% 02.35% { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 3: 29.9065 % 27.58% 02.33% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 4: 23.4244 % 23.36% 00.07% { 65s }

As you showed earlier, our equity is piss poor with AKo.

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 18.1721 % 17.07% 01.10% { 88+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 2: 32.1098 % 28.36% 03.75% { JJ+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 3: 34.0922 % 29.93% 04.16% { JJ+, AKs, AKo }
Hand 4: 15.6259 % 09.25% 06.38% { AKo }

W. Deranged 12-13-2005 08:40 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
MP2 caps (64/11) I fold

[/ QUOTE ]
[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Hobbs:

I couldn't give a [censored] about the 64/11 capper. It's the 16/6 three-bettor that has me wetting the bed.

Justin A 12-13-2005 09:04 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
I would fold here even if MP2 had folded.

inspectorgadget 12-14-2005 03:14 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
I can't imagine folding here preflop. :\

12-14-2005 03:23 PM

Re: 10/20 AK preflop
 
I think its a good fold since the PFR are 6 and 11 for the reraiser and capper. I think a good question would be is this hand worth capping against a tight reraiser whose range is probably TT+,AK.


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