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Re: 300BB upswing.
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] . What is everyone's SD for SH games? Mine shows as 15.02. [/ QUOTE ] 16.6 [/ QUOTE ] Is SD lower when you are running well? Over my last 10K hands my SD is only 14 in 6max games, average of 5 handed. And I've been running extremely well too so I think there's a correlation |
Re: 300BB upswing.
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you were 8 tabling on a laptop? [/ QUOTE ] I have done 10 on mine before. What is wrong with that? |
Re: 300BB upswing.
"If you win ... How certain can you be that you are beating the game?"
100% |
Re: 300BB upswing.
Ah, our computerguy knows about this mozilla problem... but he is playing to much poker to get time to do anything about it. I will write an article next coming days where u also can compute how much bankroll u need and after how many hands this biggest possible dowswing will happen given your winrate and standard deviation. I will post link when I have written it.
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Peachy . . .
See, I can make you laugh, too! Don't be too quick to rule out what we discussed during the 2+2 game.
TSP |
Re: Peachy . . .
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See, I can make you laugh, too! Don't be too quick to rule out what we discussed during the 2+2 game. TSP [/ QUOTE ] HAHAHAH that would make me a hooker [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] |
Re: Peachy . . .
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[ QUOTE ] See, I can make you laugh, too! Don't be too quick to rule out what we discussed during the 2+2 game. TSP [/ QUOTE ] HAHAHAH that would make me a hooker [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] Is this suddenly some kind of secret? |
Re: Peachy . . .
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[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] See, I can make you laugh, too! Don't be too quick to rule out what we discussed during the 2+2 game. TSP [/ QUOTE ] HAHAHAH that would make me a hooker [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] Is this suddenly some kind of secret? [/ QUOTE ] i knew there was a reason i hated u matt [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] |
Re: 300BB upswing.
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I will write an article next coming days where u also can compute how much bankroll u need and after how many hands this biggest possible dowswing will happen given your winrate and standard deviation. [/ QUOTE ] The "biggest possible downswing" is infinite, and it is not the same as your required bankroll. What you mean is the biggest net loss corresponding to a certain number of standard deviations. This is finite; however, equating this with the required bankroll size is a classic fallacy. See my comments here, and do not use the bankroll portion of this web page, unless you desire a 1.1% risk of ruin. |
Re: 300BB upswing.
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What if you run better than 3bb/100? [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] I had never played these limits prior to those hands (I've only been playing poker for a little more than 2 months). [/ QUOTE ] Your W$WSF is very high for your VPIP. I would expect you to be a winner, but your current winrate will go down at some point and converge to the mean. |
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