Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

Hey mmbt0ne,

How many hands is your read over? I personally wouldn't fold this, and it's probably something I should work on, but you're completely screwed here and I don't think the call is profitable from a money standpoint, or even very close. A 3-bet preflop followed by a flop check/3-bet narrows his hand range down to like nothing.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

As the concensus seems to be, you're screwed. THe KJ or AJ scenarios are possible, but 6/100? I dont know.... How aware of a player is he, if he knew his image and was willing to bet you knew it too, he could be using that to his advantage, but then again with the way you were betting he has to put you on a strong hand, and that aggression factor just doesnt seem like one to seemlessly bluff.

I'd call, while cursing at the screen, and pray to Thor (God of the river card) and ask him for the last 8 instead next time.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

Don't fold. Don't cap the turn either.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

I'd call it down on the end, it's true I might be up against a bigger boat but that is a chance I would have to take. K-Qs or A-K/J could definatly been played this way, I give myself a much greater chance than 6% to take this pot down. I call and hope villian doesn't turn over A-Q or A-10. Intersting thread, really, will you be posting results ?

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

[ QUOTE ]
What is one conceivable safe hand he could have here with those stats? Screw 6%, I'll honestly settle for 1 safe hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. There's three. You call on the river.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

[ QUOTE ]
Oops, pardon my reply. I'm new to this forum and unfamiliar with the format, I thought I was the first reply when in reality I was just restating something that has probably already been said 5 times. Peace.

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Don't not reply just because others already have. It's actually strongly recommended that you reply BEFORE reading the other posts...that way you're coming at it fresh.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

[ QUOTE ]
heh, well. most of us will agree. even without stats, given the action, you will be beat a majority of the time. but you only need to win 6/100 times. you cant be THAT sure youre toast when its HU.

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I don't agree.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

Im calling, if only for sanity's sake. You have to be sure BB wouldn't 3 bet a lone raiser with KQs( [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]) to not see 1 bet.

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

[ QUOTE ]
Don't fold.

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<font color="red">nope, don't fold </font>

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Don't cap the turn either.

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<font color="red">I disagree here. I believe you have to cap the turn </font>

Re: Screw SSHE, I want to fold
 

I call the turn 3-bet and call the river.

Even after capping the turn, I would call the river for sanity's sake (expecting to lose), but maybe that's a leak. You have a boat for chrissake [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]


Tom