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-   -   AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=278554)

octaveshift 06-24-2005 12:08 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
[ QUOTE ]
good point, ill think about this...

[/ QUOTE ]

An additional thought:

Run this scenario out against his possible holdings a million times, and you are ahead here a hell of a lot more than you are behind. (IE- It's +EV to push.)

However, the paradox is that a STT does not go on for a million hands, or even 100. So it's a balancing act between survival and +EV situations.

My personal taste is to continue to make the +EV plays, and know that overtime, my decision will be right the majority of the time, but I can understand if someone doesn't agree with it in the confines of the SNG structure.

tminus 06-24-2005 12:09 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
and you still have 750 chips left, not great but enough to make your moves this early in the game....blinds are still only 50

octaveshift 06-24-2005 12:16 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
[ QUOTE ]

I think villain's play is brilliant if he suspects Hero is holding, AA which I think is fairly obvious based on pre-flop betting

[/ QUOTE ]

I was going to say something similar in my first post, but decided I still don't like the push if I have made trip Ks and I put my opponent on AA, because the board is scary enough to make some people muck to a push.

I have faith in my ability to stack my opponent rather than blowing them out with a push.

[ QUOTE ]
If you don't lay down AA on this flop, with this action, when DO you?

[/ QUOTE ]

Right or wrong, at the levels I play at (22-55), I have never folded AA post flop. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] It seems to work OK for me about 80% of the time.

Luminous Mist 06-24-2005 02:01 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
[ QUOTE ]

If you don't lay down AA on this flop, with this action, when DO you?

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't at most levels vs. most opponents. That's part of the whole reason these games are beatable.

Luminous

11t 06-24-2005 02:04 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
Insta-call.

I like the check though, but when he dumps his stack that is a sign of weakness IMO and you gotta jump on it.

bradha 06-24-2005 04:08 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
I've folded AA post flop quite recently - flop was 3 clubs, I bet and was called; turn was another club... Opponent goes all in, and I muck. Anytime there are 9 cards which would have me drawing dead if my opponent just has 1 of them, seems much scarier than a pair on the board.

tminus 06-24-2005 04:37 PM

Re: AA on dangerous flop...how do you play this?
 
I can see a "stack dump" being a sign of weakness in other situations but remember, foe OPENED preflop...this is a messy flop for him too and probably wants to push out anyone chasing a flush. Hero reraised preflop, that screams AA or KK so the push may be him trying to prevent our hero from catching another ace too


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