Re: results/thoughts
 

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clearly from an ftop perspective his play was to raise the turn here with his superdraw, but that means he has to fire the river too, and count on me not having top or middle pair, which the flat call flop, donk bet turn seems to indicate. so the random nature of my preflop and flop smooth calls ended up tricking him into misplaying the endgame.

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This is the type of situation where your style of play makes things tough. Justin knows by now that your turn donk bet is often done with the intention of 3 betting. He really doesn't want to have to pay 3 bets when he is still behind albeit with a good draw.

Re: 4 handed live hand against justin a
 

"given what I thought about your turn bet I'm probably only betting a pair of 7's and higher."

right so that means youre checking a lot of hands you would call with if i bet, which means my check there is a good idea.

in other words, i found it hard to believe you would bet many hands on the river i couldnt beat after just calling the turn, that's why when you bet i decided to call.

btw you should be calling my donk turn bet with 98 there hoping to pair up if you dont make your straight.

Re: results/thoughts
 

I learned from this hand, thanks for posting it. I agree that the river call is very thin +ev from your perpective after the analysis. However, if Justing is folding T9o and 98o it might be a fold.

Nice hand.