Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me
 

Very nice Jcm.

Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me
 

Let's suppose your numbers are correct, which they're not.

Villain has to fold 37% of the hands for hero to break even, or 453 hands out of 1225 possible hands. Villain would have to fold about 98s to make it break even for hero, not reasonable for villain to fold this much.

As villain's calling range incresaes, so does hero chances of winning rise to about 40%.

Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me
 

I think Villain folds way more than half the time from personal experience.

I'd fold a little more the half the time myself, and I believe my calling range to be looser than most of my opponents.

Re: SB push with 53s ... stay with me
 

heres a quick list of hands that will definitely not reguarly call a push:
J2s,T6s-T2s,97s-92s,82s+,72s+,62s+,52s+,42s+,32s,Q3o-Q2o,J4o-J2o,T7o-T2o,97o-92o,82o+,72o+,62o+,52o+,42o+,32o


that's 44.4% right there. And i just stopped thinking about it after i saw it was > 35%.


Also, i think JCM's numbers were pretty close.