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-   Mid- and High-Stakes Hold'em (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=16)
-   -   Dead Man Drawing (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=396666)

Tommy Angelo 12-12-2005 07:50 PM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
"cant the guy ever have a 3?"

Only if he faked the hitch, and we assumed he didn't.

Tommy Angelo 12-12-2005 07:52 PM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
"this looks like as good a spot as any to show. Thoughts?"

I'd rather drink hydrogen than show this hand.

krishanleong 12-12-2005 07:57 PM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
[ QUOTE ]
"this looks like as good a spot as any to show. Thoughts?"

I'd rather drink hydrogen than show this hand.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, if you think showing this hand is +EV then you don't understand the hand very well. This whole hand hinges on Villians read of Tommy. He can't keep that image by showing this hand.

Krishan

mike l. 12-12-2005 08:03 PM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
"Only if he faked the hitch, and we assumed he didn't."

i think when we're working the math out we need to add in a percent (like 10% or so, it's debatable) that his hitch is not faked, but just random. maybe he had a hiccup of some sort, or thought he caught someone out of the corner of his eye he owes money, or just remembered an errand he forgot to do, or is in the beginning phases of what will become a dramatic life ending case of what michael j. fox has, or well you get the idea.

because i had at least two really nice really supreme live tells on people this year that ended up at the showdown being completely totally and randomly (meaning not faked/reverse tells) wrong. and for that many that were wrong i had at least 30 that were proven precise and correct.

so this needs to be factored in and i think it's what makes a flop bet best.

Turning Stone Pro 12-13-2005 12:23 AM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
[ QUOTE ]

In related news, what's the over/under on how long before TSP chimes in...?


[/ QUOTE ]

I rather make minimum wage carrying around SteveG's suitcase full of money than read that entire rambling moronic meaningless post.

TSP

Mempho 12-13-2005 10:29 AM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
Extremely good post, Tommy. This post shows some of the beauties and intricacies of live play.

Don Olney 12-13-2005 03:45 PM

Re: Dead Man Drawing
 
At least Tommy adds some EXTRA to his stuff -- it makes a great read----and after I get done spitting my coffee on the key board I LEARN stuff from Tommy now and then----like MATH SUCKS thank GOSH TOMMY does it for me ------
Don
Table 7 seat 4 today


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