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-   -   Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=300268)

iluzion 07-25-2005 06:30 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My bankroll at any given site, yes. My entire bankroll? No.

imported_anacardo 07-25-2005 06:31 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Shouldn't it be any suited connector that doesn't make a straight with an ace? 98s, 87s, 76s?

sublime 07-25-2005 06:32 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
The 32% of people who answered no should not be playing poker.

um wrong. you have to factor in risk of ruin. if i lost, i would have to get a job. no thanks.

SoftcoreRevolt 07-25-2005 06:33 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
Two of the cards JTs needs to make a straight are missing.

boose_bagina 07-25-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
98s max22.47%
78s max22.87% //best you'll get
67s max22.87% //best you'll get
56s max22.87% //best you'll get
JTs max21.55%
any PP ~20%

IggyWH 07-25-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]
Shouldn't it be any suited connector that doesn't make a straight with an ace? 98s, 87s, 76s?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, you are correct. So when asked what is the best hand, it's 98s (sure 87s has the same odds, but the 9 is higher).

MicroBob 07-25-2005 06:36 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
My answer is 'no' (of course, this can be bankroll dependent too).


When I am just playing poker in general I estimate that I have around a 1-2% advantage much of the time. Perhaps a little bit more.
so I adjust the amount that I have at risk accordingly.

Same goes for an doubleup-or-nothing proposition where I'm an 85:15 favorite.
This is not enough of an advantage for me to risk all my money.


For those saying yes....then I assume you would also not have any issue just taking a roll of the dice for an 85% advantage (picture a 100 sided die or something).

Is there some percentage where you wouldn't accept this bet?
I am hoping you would not choose to take this bet at 51% advantage for example.

Do you take it at 75%??
70%??


The issue is NOT that 'you have AA and that's the best hand you can get in poker'.

The issue is whether you are willing to put all your money on the line for an 85% chance of doubling-up or going broke.


If I don't go on super monkey-tilt or spend it all, then I have about a 99% chance or higher of doubling-up my money just playing the way I am playing now (especially since I am willing to step back in limits and re-build if things get tough for me at the tables).

Obviously it will take longer doing it my way.

But I view taking the 85% chance of double-up to be a foolish risk considering that I am already at a 99% chance if I just grind out all my little hands and give myself a chance to get to the long-run.

smartalecc5 07-25-2005 06:37 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
I am pretty sure it s 78s is the best cards against AA. HAHA, do you remember that debate about hte six chambers in the gun question posed by David S. That was ugly!

I voted yes, but In ACTUALITY - I would not do it. Im not risking thousands of dollars on a 75% chance of winning.

TylerD 07-25-2005 06:39 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
an unsuprising observation: "pro" players say no, recreational/semi-pro players say yes.

boose_bagina 07-25-2005 06:41 PM

Re: Your ENTIRE bankroll on AA...do you do it?
 
[ QUOTE ]

I voted yes, but In ACTUALITY - I would not do it.

[/ QUOTE ]
hmmm, i don't think you understand the poll. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]


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