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-   -   omfg (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=391536)

Jinx 12-05-2005 04:53 AM

Re: omfg
 
The fact you never considered a cap and calls it absurd is part of the reason you're "running bad."

PokerBob 12-05-2005 04:56 AM

Re: omfg
 
[ QUOTE ]
The fact you never considered a cap and calls it absurd is part of the reason you're "running bad."

[/ QUOTE ]

im not sure how one has anything to do with the other. i suppose the cap did enter my mind, but given my reads it seemed -EV, thus absurd.

imported_leader 12-05-2005 04:57 AM

Re: omfg
 
[ QUOTE ]
The fact you never considered a cap and calls it absurd is part of the reason you're "running bad."

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think so. This type of hand comes up like once a week at most.

admiralfluff 12-05-2005 05:03 AM

Re: omfg
 
[ QUOTE ]
The fact you never considered a cap and calls it absurd is part of the reason you're "running bad."

[/ QUOTE ]

I think maybe the fact the he is running bad is the reason he never considered a cap.

Jinx 12-05-2005 05:10 AM

Re: omfg
 
There is almost no way either person has a straight given the flop action. If they are insane enough to raise the flop with KT then they are insane enough to raise the river with 27o.

The only thing you have to fear is a higher set. I suppose someone could have a higher set, but as a general rule of thumb, never fear set over set. Especially try given the preflop action. And you would only have to win this hand 33% of the time for a cap to be profitable. (edit: This assumes everyone comes for the ride) I would cap this and expect to win it 70% of the time.

Missing value bets is as bad as paying off value bets. This particular situation is rare, but it implies that you're missing value because you're fearing monsters.

PokerBob 12-05-2005 05:16 AM

Re: omfg
 
[ QUOTE ]
There is almost no way either person has a straight given the flop action. If they are insane enough to raise the flop with KT then they are insane enough to raise the river with 27o.

The only thing you have to fear is a higher set. I suppose someone could have a higher set, but as a general rule of thumb, never fear set over set. Especially try given the preflop action. And you would only have to win this hand 33% of the time for a cap to be profitable. I would cap this and expect to win it 70% of the time.

Missing value bets is as bad as paying off value bets. This particular situation is rare, but it implies that you're missing value because you're fearing monsters.

[/ QUOTE ]

if i cap, am i getting 2 overcalls? I doubt it. But I sure am getting called if I'm beat.

Jinx 12-05-2005 05:18 AM

Re: omfg
 
You called them loose. what makes you're think MP is folding for 2 more in a huge pot? CO is certainly calling for 1 more after he 3 bet the river.

PokerBob 12-05-2005 05:19 AM

Re: omfg
 
[ QUOTE ]
You called them loose. what makes you're think MP is folding for 2 more in a huge pot?

[/ QUOTE ]

i also called them passive......

Jinx 12-05-2005 05:22 AM

Re: omfg
 
Not to be results oriented, but they actually don't seem that passive based on the flop play. But even so, passive spring to life with plenty of hands you beat.

jason_t 12-05-2005 05:24 AM

Re: omfg
 
Caps.


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