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-   -   Weak Tight you say Mikel? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=345809)

nummerfire 09-28-2005 04:24 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Why bet. If she is the lady named Robin I played at the Mirage 20-40 last year I certainly would not call with over fifty percent of the hands she have beat

Kim

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 05:59 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Actually, as Gabe noted, I am not the pokerbabe at the bike. That person took my "handle" and is trying to pass herself off as THE original PokerBabe [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

The real PokerBabe checks this river against this SOLID playing Black guy for the following reasons.


1). He does NOT have a RBP (really big pair) like KK or AA as he doesn't 4 bet preflop which he would do about 100% of the time. So, we have to narrow his possible holdings down from there.

2), There is a 10 on the flop and he can BEAT a 10 since he called the flop. He would check raise the turn with a set of 10s here about 100% of the time, so when he just calls the turn, I am pretty sure he has an overpair less than KK.

3). If he can beat a 10 with an overpair less than KK that means he has exactly two holdings and they are JJ and QQ.

4). His check calling pattern throughout the hand works perfectly for his plan to induce when he spikes on the river. He is now darn sure I have an overpair to the board and the innoculous looking Jack makes it very likely I will bet my overpair on the river.

5). By checking the river I get to see if my read was correct. And it was. Fortunately for me, it's probable that he will now always bet his hand on the river against me when he is leading.

LGPG,
Babe [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:02 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Hi Dominic,

You said it. The only hand he has that beats me is JJ and you got it right. So...., why bet? [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

I am ready to play golf any Mon or Tues. Let's do so so.

Love to Erika,

LGPG

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:05 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Hi Sin,

Yes, that is the only other way to play this river. Most of the posters here would pay off the check raise.

LGPG

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:09 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Hi Mike,

Feel free to bet on and pay off the Black guy. [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] I would probably never check this against you, btw. [img]/images/graemlins/laugh.gif[/img] [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

LGPG

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

AJo Go All In 09-28-2005 06:11 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
what a random player should value bet and what pokerbabe should value bet are not the same thing

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:12 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Hi Kim,

You have a good memory. I am Robyn from the Mirage.

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:18 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Hi Andy,

Nice to see you, as always. I do so dig those new glasses you got. They are MAD COOL as leon would say. [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img] Actually, this was my "proudest moment" because I saved myself 60 bucks that I can use toward that dinner I owe you.

Let's do it next time you are in town.

LGPG

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:19 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
Spot on AJ all in. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

PokerBabe(aka) 09-28-2005 06:21 AM

Re: Weak Tight you say Mikel?
 
He NEVER ever pays me off with 99 or 88 here.

LGPG

[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]


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