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-   The Stock Market (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/forumdisplay.php?f=28)
-   -   The Trend (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=398296)

mrbaseball 12-15-2005 11:45 AM

Re: The Trend
 
[ QUOTE ]
HE HAS USED MATH TO AMASS HIS FORTUNE IN OPTIONS CONTRACTS


[/ QUOTE ]

I use lots of math in my options trading too. But I bet Henry didn't and doesn't use math when looking at a chart. This is my point if you would bother to read what I wrote.

This thread is refreshing and a good reminder of why I almost never post in these troll infested waters.

I'm done here.

mrbaseball 12-15-2005 11:49 AM

Re: The Trend
 
[ QUOTE ]
Do you believe your trend following is valid without these "other things"?


[/ QUOTE ]

For me? No! I use trends in conjunction with support/resistance and oscillators and other indicators to get a feel for the total picture.

Sniper 12-15-2005 12:01 PM

Re: The Trend
 
[ QUOTE ]
This thread is refreshing and a good reminder of why I almost never post in these troll infested waters.

[/ QUOTE ]

I don't think Eastbay's comments are Troll related... I presume he is interested in learning, however, I think he's just stuck in programmer mode! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

I will try to satisfy his programatic needs, as this thread progresses.

blendedsuit 12-15-2005 12:04 PM

Re: The Trend
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
HE HAS USED MATH TO AMASS HIS FORTUNE IN OPTIONS CONTRACTS


[/ QUOTE ]

I use lots of math in my options trading too. But I bet Henry didn't and doesn't use math when looking at a chart. This is my point if you would bother to read what I wrote.

This thread is refreshing and a good reminder of why I almost never post in these troll infested waters.

I'm done here.

[/ QUOTE ]
hey, i'm angry. sorry i shouted at you. you are right. dont give up so easy. peace

Officer Farva 12-16-2005 04:58 PM

Re: The Trend
 
Here is the best piece of knowledge I have about markets and trends:

use as much relative information as possible, and value them all roughly equally.

for me, this means using a large set of quant factors (rsi, macd, ad, ma cross, 2nd derivatives, mean reversion, unit root tests, etc)

I then take some sort of fundamental idea and dump it in to this framework, and do it the same way everytime.

The key here is that although noone uses all of these factors everytime, there is always someone using each of these factors. So if you can get them to roughly be aligned, chances are there are more people in alignment with you. Combine that with a decent idea producer, and you have yourself a market beating trend model. I learned that first hand from one of the top macro managers in the world.


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