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-   -   99 preflop decision $100r (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=401041)

schwza 12-20-2005 01:20 PM

Re: 99 preflop decision $100r
 
[ QUOTE ]
ok he bets 3000 on Q73r flop, you call. he checks T turn. 11k stacks left, pot 10k.

[/ QUOTE ]

check behind, fold to a river push. call a smallish river bet.

[ QUOTE ]
edit/
and are you auto folding any A flop?

[/ QUOTE ]

yes.

this guy sounds like he's opening light if he's folding to your reraises, so why not play a pot with him? incidentally, that's also why i don't mind giving a free card on the turn on the q73T board - there's a decent chance he's drawing to 0/3 outs.

12-20-2005 01:23 PM

Re: 99 preflop decision $100r
 
Calling is 1/5 your stack.

I see 3 possible lines:

1) Push now (the hyper aggro, rabid SNGer approach).

2) Fold now (the conservative, I want to make it to the money approach).

3) Call now, Push to a continuation bet on a low flop (fold to any Ace, any two overcards, or a larger than pot sized bet on flop).

I think #3 is the best line when I rationally think things through, but I'd probably go for either #2 or #1 in the heat of battle depending on how spastic I was feeling.

John W 12-20-2005 06:48 PM

Re: 99 preflop decision $100r
 
Of course you do. But so may players will make the standard continuation bet with a good ace hoping that the flop didn't help you and try and take down the pot with a strong bet. This might sound a little crazy but if you dont want to move in, a mini raise to 6k will get the information you need, if he moves in you can elect to save your last 7k, but you are putting the maxium pressure on him without risking your tourney esentially you are telling him that you are commited, but you are really not. If you look at the math it doesn't look right but you are still in the tourney with time to rebuild. Most won't agree with this line of play but most will go bust in this spot.

locutus2002 12-20-2005 07:50 PM

Re: 99 preflop decision $100r
 
This hand has been bothering me for a day.

I think hero's move is totally dependent on the table and the players, but in general I don't think a fold is incorrect (unless the table is passive) because:

4 players left to act.
Stacks aren't that great to play for set value.
Hero is vulnerable to squeeze.
Hero is behind tight EP raiser range.


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