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-   -   AK free flop (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=219618)

varoadstter 03-25-2005 02:32 PM

Re: Results
 
[ QUOTE ]
... Worked out well. Who can tell if betting the flop gets them to pay off the turn and river?

I've got TPTK with a 1 outer to the nut str. I was the PF raiser with position. It's a Bway rainbow flop. On odds alone, if I'm ahead now, how many cards can hurt me? They're mostly all 2 and 3 outers.

I risked a free card to the 2 and 3 out hands I was ahead of for some deception and calls on the BB's. It's not a default play. It's mixing it up when either way ahead or behind. Just an idea.

[/ QUOTE ]

It's not a good idea for several reasons.

1) You have no real way to know where you are in the hand. If you bet and everyone folds, then obviously you weren't going to get much action anyway. The board is very scary for someone whos hand doesn't fit and even for some that do.

2) You're not explicitly stating it but I get the feeling that you were prepared to go all the way with your hand (even to the point of giving people a chance to suck out on you). What do you do when someone starts betting into you on the later streets? Are you going to be able to fold? I seriously doubt it as your whole strategy is based on the idea that you are willing to risk suckouts to try to lure in a chaser.

3) There are still a lot of ways you can lose that hand. Someone sitting with a low pocket pair is going to be thrilled that you're giving them free cards. Someone who is sitting on a made hand may well slowplay the flop and then bet the turn. If the turn came up a blank, you may very easilly be misled into believing that they are betting for having paired the turn card. Let's not forget to mention the possibility that someone picks up two pair on the later streets when you had them beat with your TPTK.

CallMeIshmael 03-25-2005 03:09 PM

Re: Results..responses
 
[ QUOTE ]
sfer talks about the size of the pot. Good point. Someone else said 66 or J8s is folding the turn. That I have to disagree with to a certain extent because the players in online LL's tend to call down PP's as small as 22 no matter the board.

[/ QUOTE ]

This is selective memory, IMO.

Some people call all the way with any pair, I agree. But you know very little of the hands that folded along the way. A lot of the hands that fold are small PPs that didn't hit a set.

SeaEagle 03-25-2005 03:54 PM

Re: AK free flop
 
Wow. This almost set my troll meter off.

With this flop, all the good cards are already on the board. What card can come that will improve somebody and still leave them 2nd best? Anybody who's calling the turn was already calling the flop.

Bad cards for you: A,Q,J,9.
Likely bad cards for you: K,T since they'll dry up your action (or give a worse hand a split with a T)
Possible bad cards for you: All others, since they could give someone a free set or two pair
Good cards for you: ?

The only thing the check does is cost you value and give somebody with a weak hand a chance to beat you.

TheHip41 03-25-2005 04:07 PM

Re: AK free flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
2-4 online

2 limpers to me in LP and I raise with AKo. BB and limpers call.

Flop KQJr. Checked to me I check.

Comments?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why would you check? The 1st time a J falls on the turn, and some tool with J4 snaps you off, you will bet the next time.

SA125 03-25-2005 06:13 PM

Give me a break.
 
[ QUOTE ]
I like when people present a problem, then provide their own solution contrary to all advice.

[/ QUOTE ]

Really. There was no problem presented or contrary solutions provided.

Getting feedback on whether this was a good spot for a change-up was the point. To see if there's some imagination that could be added to the play of this hand on that board.

How is that not as obvious as knowingly taking a different line here?

SA125 03-25-2005 06:18 PM

Re: AK free flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Ridiclulous

[/ QUOTE ]

Thanks for the stimulating insight.

SA125 03-25-2005 06:24 PM

Re: Results
 
Great response. I looked at the board and decided to check and hoped they'd put me on something 99, TT or AJ. Represent something less than TP that might be afraid now. That's all. It's not my new default play. Just trying to see if I'd be more likely to be paid off on the river by worse paint by looking scared rather than strong.

SA125 03-25-2005 06:28 PM

Re: AK free flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Wow. This almost set my troll meter off.

[/ QUOTE ]

Troll? Please. Knucklehead is much more like it. Seriously though, I figured I'd get a lot of flop/turn calls by betting. I wondered if the check would get more turn/river calls. Maybe I'm wrong. Thanks.

SA125 03-25-2005 06:30 PM

Re: AK free flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
The 1st time a J falls on the turn, and some tool with J4 snaps you off, you will bet the next time.

[/ QUOTE ]

True.

CallMeIshmael 03-25-2005 06:41 PM

Re: Results
 
Do you realize how much:

[ QUOTE ]
Just trying to see if I'd be more likely to be paid off on the river by worse paint by looking scared rather than strong.

[/ QUOTE ]

Doesn't jive with:

[ QUOTE ]
Someone else said 66 or J8s is folding the turn. That I have to disagree with to a certain extent because the players in online LL's tend to call down PP's as small as 22 no matter the board.

[/ QUOTE ]


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