Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches
 

There was a guy running 3BB/100 who had a 700+BB downswing. Cant remember the thread but it was quite interesting since he later continued his domination at 3BB/100.

Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches
 

I said relative ease [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]. You basically create a random result for each hour based on win rate and SD, then you simulate a random player's results for x hours. Then you repeat that for a large number of players and pick out the necessary data. Homer made a spreadsheet (and posted it) a while ago that did this for one player over x hours. This could be expanded to give results for many players.

Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches
 

Oh I should also mention this is all kind of pointless because you never know what your win rate is, especially in the future.

Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches
 

I posted that spreadsheet here:
http://help_please1.tripod.com/

Re: How Winrate Affects Downswings/Breakeven Stretches
 

patron is my favorite tequila