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-   -   The longest draw (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=380727)

DesertCat 11-18-2005 01:55 AM

Re: The longest draw
 
[ QUOTE ]

First, you did not "beat" the other "bad bead" story. The odds are the same in both cases. 989 to 1.
Second, that is (knowing the flop and the hole cards of two players) the longest odds you can get (needing to catch the only two cards you can).

[/ QUOTE ]

Damn you for being right.

BoxTree 11-18-2005 04:22 AM

Re: The longest draw
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't see why it isn't 2 in 45 X 1 in 44, or 990 to 1. For running sf you must start with 2 known cards plus the board.

[/ QUOTE ]

Your math is right: 2/45 * 1/44 = 990.

1 in 990 is the same as 989:1.

If you're getting 4:1 to call, you need to win 1 in 5 times. Lose 4, Win 1 (4:1), break even.

psyduck 11-18-2005 07:18 AM

Re: The longest draw
 
sorry dude, you misplayed grossly on the turn.

2+2 wannabe 11-18-2005 11:35 AM

Re: The longest draw
 
[ QUOTE ]
sorry dude, you misplayed grossly on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

[img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

DesertCat 11-18-2005 02:29 PM

Re: The longest draw
 
[ QUOTE ]
sorry dude, you misplayed grossly on the turn.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm sure it's obvious, but would you enlighten me as to your thought process on the turn?

11-18-2005 09:57 PM

Re: The longest draw
 
The longest draws possible are runner runner straight flush or runner runner quads, both are 989-1


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