Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

Even better than calc.exe, is the google math facility. For combinatorials use the operator "choose".

See here for details.

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

but doesn't anyone think it's cool that i witnessed a 1 in 30.5 million event?

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

No, on the average there will be one such occurence every 30.5 million hands. And many such rare different events do occurs in a long sequence. The reason you find it remarkable is just because you impose (from the outside) a special code on the cards (ie the rules of hand ranking in poker). But the cards are just that, cards, they don't know, don't care what value they display and they don't know anything about poker. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

Just to make my previous post clearer with concrete example.

Take any 4 cards (ie h5, d8, sJ and cK, for instance). There are also about 1 chance in 32 millions that two hands in succesion will have at least 3 of those cards. Yet, you would probably not even notice this "rare" event.

[img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

dude - the sarcasm meter a bit broken today?

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

only a man with his head up his mathematical, well, ahem, would, on seeing a trillion to one event, shrug and equate it with the probability of finding two legs on a biped.

here's one you could maybe answer: what are the odds of being dealt KK twice in succession, and being beaten by AA twice in that succession?

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

[ QUOTE ]
only a man with his head up his mathematical, well, ahem, would, on seeing a trillion to one event, shrug and equate it with the probability of finding two legs on a biped.

[/ QUOTE ]
Go watch a roulette wheel for 20 minutes.

[ QUOTE ]
here's one you could maybe answer: what are the odds of being dealt KK twice in succession, and being beaten by AA twice in that succession?

[/ QUOTE ]

Unless there's an error in my thinking:

[C(4,2)/C(52,2) * [9 * 6/C(50,2) - C(9,2)/C(50,4)] * .819461] ^ 2

~.00000265% or about 37,696,253.7 to 1.

Re: trips flops twice in a row
 

thanks.

i had that happen to me last week. i went immediately to my nearest roulette wheel and gaped.