Re: 5/10: Turn and River play with 88
 

Good post. The only thing I disagree with is the likelihood of an overpair to TT. I think all of those get capped preflop 99% of the time.

I ran some pokerstove sims last night against a few different ranges, some wider, some narrower. I know pokerstove isn't ideal or perfect for these analyses, but I found the results interesting. It's pretty close to 1:1. A little less or a little more, depending on the ranges.

So though I can't say for sure he'd do this with both straight and flush draws, because he's unknown I think that's a better reason to get to showdown.

Re: 5/10: Turn and River play with 88
 

I like this. I'm not crazy about a free card on the turn, but it's not terribly devestating and it may induce bluffs on both streets.