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-   -   QQ on Button (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=371393)

adamstewart 11-03-2005 11:11 PM

Re: QQ on Button
 
River raise is no good.

Villain's most likely holdings:

(i) a rivered flush

(ii) a King, which he slowplayed on the turn

(iii) a total bluff, which he's making a 'hail mary' attempt at as a last resort.

(iv) a badly played rivered straight

(v) a pair smaller than your QQ.



Only the 5th option is potentially calling down, and even that is very debatable. For the other possible holdings, villain is raising/calling with a better hand, or folding a worse one.

There is no value to raising this river. It's -EV.



Adam


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