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-   -   Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=370705)

durron597 11-02-2005 10:58 PM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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Hand 2 you should have pushed on the river...


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Why, what worse hands pay me off?

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Probably none. I was just hoping you doubled me up! [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

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Oh, I didn't know who your 2+2 username was [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

cha59 11-02-2005 11:26 PM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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That makes the preflop complete in hand one even worse! Why volunteer to play a terrible hand with almost no stacking value out of position against an opponent who has the potential to either A) outplay you using his position or B) not pay you off when you do make a hand?

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The BB is guaranteed to fold and I'm getting 5:1 and I play well postflop?

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5:1 isn't enough!

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In these games you dont have a lot of opportunities to get many chips by seeing a cheap flop because everyone is either folding or raising preflop. This was one.

Im not saying folding Q3 preflop here is bad, but I think calling here is better and durron played the whole hand perfectly in this game IMO. Knowing how the other player plays is key in these situations.

11-02-2005 11:30 PM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
I hate hand 2. SB is unlikely to be trapping with stacks this deep, so you're probably good preflop, so raise. On the flop you're damn likely to be good and haven't repped an A at all and cards in villain's range have fallen, so bet. Ditto for the turn. River is a situation I don't want to be in, and maybe check's ok.

bigt439 11-03-2005 12:38 AM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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Hand 1 is ugly. I fold pf first off. Flop is fine depending on what you were planning on doing. Turn is good. River is gross. What is he supposed to call you with? River check raises are almost never bluffs. Case in point.

I bet the river in hand 2 having underrepresented my hand like that (which is totally fine).

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In both hands remember that this is against other 2+2ers, not party donks.

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Exactly. What good player is calling you on the river with a hand worse than Q3?

durron597 11-03-2005 12:58 AM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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Exactly. What good player is calling you on the river with a hand worse than Q3?

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Remember, in general I am playing LAG. What are you doing with a hand like KQ, QJ, QT here? I think automatically saying "fold" is very weak tight.

If you were the villian, what would you put hero on? Surely the 3 didn't help him...

bigt439 11-03-2005 02:58 AM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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Exactly. What good player is calling you on the river with a hand worse than Q3?

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Remember, in general I am playing LAG. What are you doing with a hand like KQ, QJ, QT here? I think automatically saying "fold" is very weak tight.

If you were the villian, what would you put hero on? Surely the 3 didn't help him...

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I would fold those hands because this line doesn't make sense for a bluff. The reason it's a bad bluff is because you're risking your whole stack to win a medium size pot, and you're not really representing any legitimate hand while you do it. Out of the range you are bluffing out, a fair amount still calls. This opponent has represented a strong hand and there is no reason to think you can take him off of it. So you would not bluff here. If your opponent is good, they will realize it makes no sense to bluff here and give you credit for a hand. This will likely only work to an extent though because it becomes increasingly harder to lay down better hands. In fact, I think the threshold actually lies somewhere around your hand, meaning that your opponent folds everything worse than your hand and calls with everything better.

Now you might say, well if this makes no sense for a bluff, and we're getting them to fold tpgk hands, why not do this as a bluff. But it still doesn't make much sense as a bluff because you're still getting called by a decent portion of their range even though you do fold out some made hands.

So it doesn't make much sense as a bluff because you're risking your stack to win a medium pot against an opponent who can call with alot, but what they can't really call with are the hands that your Q3 beats. And that's why this is a bad value bet IMO. I'm saying that he's essentially told us he has at least a Q or better. He should know you know this. So if you show the mammoth strength that check raising the river indicates he will likely fold a lone Q. He can do this because he knows you shouldn't be bluffing this river either because so much of his range calls that its not worth risking your tournament. Even though you've shown huge strength though I don't think he can fold two pair or better because this is what you could be doing this with. Given the dead money and people's love of good hands he likely calls with two pair or better. Essentially you're folding out hands you beat and not hand that beat you. Not the optimal value bet.

I'm having alot of trouble conveying what I'm trying to say, but I know exactly what I want to say. It's rather frustrating, but hopefully you get the idea.

durron597 11-03-2005 07:46 AM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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So it doesn't make much sense as a bluff because you're risking your stack to win a medium pot against an opponent who can call with alot, but what they can't really call with are the hands that your Q3 beats. And that's why this is a bad value bet IMO. I'm saying that he's essentially told us he has at least a Q or better.

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You aren't factoring my active image into play at all.

Results for hand 1: He had QJ and called.

11-03-2005 08:38 AM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
I jam the fold button so fast when I see Q3 offsuit in a full game. This hand is questionable even heads up!

bigt439 11-03-2005 01:54 PM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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So it doesn't make much sense as a bluff because you're risking your stack to win a medium pot against an opponent who can call with alot, but what they can't really call with are the hands that your Q3 beats. And that's why this is a bad value bet IMO. I'm saying that he's essentially told us he has at least a Q or better.

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You aren't factoring my active image into play at all.

Results for hand 1: He had QJ and called.

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Uhhh. That's just not true. Unless you were playing like an absolute monkey that's a horrible call. Like really bad.

durron597 11-03-2005 02:03 PM

Re: Atlantic Trout - TPcrapK
 
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Uhhh. That's just not true. Unless you were playing like an absolute monkey that's a horrible call. Like really bad.

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I was.


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