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-   -   15/30 KK (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=348508)

baronzeus 10-02-2005 09:29 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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Folding the turn is definitely the right play with no reads, I also think you should not of capped the flop, as a check 3 bet on this board usually spells doom. The minute i read that the guy checked 3 bet the flop I put him on a set, as I dont think most players would do this with J9 or 97 against 2 opponents out of position. If there was a flush draw on the flop, then I think you should call down since it may be possible that the villain has a 12 outer or more, flush draw + straight draw or flush draw and a pair type hand.

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So if you didn't cap the flop, what would your plan on the turn be?

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My plan would be to fold the turn unimproved. Are you suggesting that capping the flop and folding the turn is better than just calling the 3 bet and folding the turn?

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it's far better and it's not close

10-02-2005 09:42 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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Folding the turn is definitely the right play with no reads, I also think you should not of capped the flop, as a check 3 bet on this board usually spells doom. The minute i read that the guy checked 3 bet the flop I put him on a set, as I dont think most players would do this with J9 or 97 against 2 opponents out of position. If there was a flush draw on the flop, then I think you should call down since it may be possible that the villain has a 12 outer or more, flush draw + straight draw or flush draw and a pair type hand.

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So if you didn't cap the flop, what would your plan on the turn be?

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My plan would be to fold the turn unimproved. Are you suggesting that capping the flop and folding the turn is better than just calling the 3 bet and folding the turn?

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it's far better and it's not close

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Given the flop action, capping is clearly spewing in my opinion. A check/3bet on a board with no flush draw almost always means the villain can beat an overpair. The only reason to cap here is if the hero has a specific read on the villain, but in this example the hero has no relevant information on the villain. So capping here against an unknown is simply throwing money away.

kurosh 10-02-2005 10:51 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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Folding the turn is definitely the right play with no reads, I also think you should not of capped the flop, as a check 3 bet on this board usually spells doom. The minute i read that the guy checked 3 bet the flop I put him on a set, as I dont think most players would do this with J9 or 97 against 2 opponents out of position. If there was a flush draw on the flop, then I think you should call down since it may be possible that the villain has a 12 outer or more, flush draw + straight draw or flush draw and a pair type hand.

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So if you didn't cap the flop, what would your plan on the turn be?

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My plan would be to fold the turn unimproved. Are you suggesting that capping the flop and folding the turn is better than just calling the 3 bet and folding the turn?

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it's far better and it's not close

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Given the flop action, capping is clearly spewing in my opinion. A check/3bet on a board with no flush draw almost always means the villain can beat an overpair. The only reason to cap here is if the hero has a specific read on the villain, but in this example the hero has no relevant information on the villain. So capping here against an unknown is simply throwing money away.

[/ QUOTE ]Shhhhhhhhhhh

Justin A 10-02-2005 10:53 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
I don't see how the ace changes much.

ihardlyknowher 10-02-2005 11:29 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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I don't see how the ace changes much.

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I agree with this and think that, given the probability that one of your opponents does not hold an ace, you probably have effective odds for a call down. And in what Party 15 game does a flop 3-bet mean better than top pair? I would estimate it to mean that about 10% of the time.

10-02-2005 11:48 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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I don't see how the ace changes much.

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I agree with this and think that, given the probability that one of your opponents does not hold an ace, you probably have effective odds for a call down. And in what Party 15 game does a flop 3-bet mean better than top pair? I would estimate it to mean that about 10% of the time.

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you misread the action, we are not talking about a 3bet here, we are talking about a check/3bet for value play. There is a big difference.

10-02-2005 11:56 PM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
i CALL to river. it's very possible that one has 9-J and the other has 2 pair with 8-10. with the pot odds and implied odds i'd call to river-- even if there exists 2 pair, you can still hit trips OR catch a better 2 pair.

CardSharpCook 10-03-2005 12:18 AM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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I mostly posted this for the comfort in knowing I made the right play.

I was torn on the turn; I thought about folding, calling and raising for a free showdown. I folded. EP1 showed down Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and E2 showed down JJ.

[img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

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Folding the turn is definitely the right play with no reads, I also think you should not of capped the flop, as a check 3 bet on this board usually spells doom. The minute i read that the guy checked 3 bet the flop I put him on a set, as I dont think most players would do this with J9 or 97 against 2 opponents out of position. If there was a flush draw on the flop, then I think you should call down since it may be possible that the villain has a 12 outer or more, flush draw + straight draw or flush draw and a pair type hand.

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Westley, I'm usually a fan of your posts, but I really disagree with you here. I see the check/3bet with TPWK often in this game. In fact, I'm calling the flop 3bet and raising the turn (provided it isn't an ace). As it is (4bet/ace turn/opponent leads out, next guy calls), I am folding here. The lead out on the ace turn almost seems like he wants you to believe your ace is good. I won't believe him if I am the only one in the pot, but as is, I can fold here.

ihardlyknowher 10-03-2005 12:32 AM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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I don't see how the ace changes much.

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I agree with this and think that, given the probability that one of your opponents does not hold an ace, you probably have effective odds for a call down. And in what Party 15 game does a flop 3-bet mean better than top pair? I would estimate it to mean that about 10% of the time.

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you misread the action, we are not talking about a 3bet here, we are talking about a check/3bet for value play. There is a big difference.

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Agreed, there is a difference. But I don't think there is a reasonable range of hands for EP1 that shows our Hero is anywhere near a 7:1 dog here (on the Turn). Easy call down IMO.

10-03-2005 01:54 AM

Re: 15/30 KK
 
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I don't see how the ace changes much.

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I agree with this and think that, given the probability that one of your opponents does not hold an ace, you probably have effective odds for a call down. And in what Party 15 game does a flop 3-bet mean better than top pair? I would estimate it to mean that about 10% of the time.

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you misread the action, we are not talking about a 3bet here, we are talking about a check/3bet for value play. There is a big difference.

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Agreed, there is a difference. But I don't think there is a reasonable range of hands for EP1 that shows our Hero is anywhere near a 7:1 dog here (on the Turn). Easy call down IMO.

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against the typical opponent this is an easy fold imo. This action will almost always mean a set. Against a loose agg or crazy guy this is an easy call down.


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