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-   -   Interesting Hypothetical? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=299380)

MVicuna 07-25-2005 05:56 PM

Re: Interesting Hypothetical?
 
I may have gotten this wrong.

1) 1 As, 3 Ts, 3 7s, 2 2s = 9 cards out of 45 that make it wrong for A to call the turn.

2) 3 ks, 3qs, 3 5s, 3 4s, 3 3s = 15 cards that make it ~EV for A to call.

3) 3 9's, 3 8's = 6 cards that make it 55/45 for A to call.

4) 3 js, 3 6's, 9 spades = 15 cards that make it wrong for B to call.

if they manage to bet exactly 2k on the flop.

1) 20% of the time A folds. B wins 1k.
2) 33% of the time A calls. B wins 2640.
3) 13% of the time a calls. B wins 2200.
4) 33% of the time B folds. B loses 1k.

So A has to get more then half of B's stack in on the flop in order for it to be profitable in the long run.

Thanks,
MarkV.


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