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-   -   Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=272545)

marching_on_together 06-14-2005 08:55 AM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
i'll call this without a strong read, the suit of the flop ace does have some bearing here though

chief444 06-14-2005 08:57 AM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
I'd say that a lot does depend on whether the A on the board is a club or not. Either way may be a call though since any two pair other than A9 seems unlikely. If J9 is a possibility then I'd consider a 3-bet if the A isn't a club. But more than likely I'm just calling here. If I did 3-bet there's no way I'm folding to a cap with 22+ BB's in the middle.

Victor 06-14-2005 09:18 AM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
its possible mp has a flopped set although pretty unlikely as you would have heard about it on the turn. its doubtful he withstood all the flop action with 99.

more likely is that 9c hit him and he has either a9 or a flush.

so i guess you decision is to call or 3bet. heres the thing: since the pot is big (and given your action) your opp knows you are gonna call down here, so that lends some credibility to his hand. so, i just call here.

Victor 06-14-2005 09:21 AM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is an amazingly thin edge to push, but I say 3bet the river and fold to a cap.




[/ QUOTE ]

lines that allow a fold in a 22 bb pot on the river for one bet in online poker are a good way to lose money.

jgorham 06-14-2005 09:33 AM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
[ QUOTE ]
lines that allow a fold in a 22 bb pot on the river for one bet in online poker are a good way to lose money.

[/ QUOTE ]

Tell that to GoT [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img] :

Another hand

meep_42 06-14-2005 11:59 AM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
[edit - i'm calling, nice hand.]

-d

krishanleong 06-14-2005 12:08 PM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
3-bet. I don't care what suit the A is really.

Krishan

A_C_Slater 06-14-2005 12:22 PM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
Expect to see a FPS check/raise bluff more than 1/18 times here. That being said, I think he indeed has your hand beat here more than half the time (9/18) but certainly not even 2/18 of the time are you behind.

Is your intent here to attempt to put him on a range of hands? Is not folding here catatsrophic for the price you are getting and meta-game reasons?

ckessel 06-14-2005 12:26 PM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
It sucks if he hit the backdoor flush. Trips seem unlikely as he came out firing on the flop.

I'd guess it's more likely he hit 2 a lesser Axs 2-pair though and you've got to call.

A_C_Slater 06-14-2005 12:33 PM

Re: Daily Hand Post : AJo in MP
 
AHA!

His intent in this post is not whether you should call, but whether one should reraise!

That must be it.

Folding is preposterous.

I would not reraise, because I don't "like" it. [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]


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