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-   -   wondering how good i can play? (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=259637)

kyro 05-27-2005 08:46 AM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
95% is unattainable provided you're not playing with people are all in on the first hand with 84o.

[/ QUOTE ]Don't worry; if they went all in with 84o you STILL wouldn't be 95% to place. Hell, you wouldn't be 95% to win THAT hand, and if you did double up, that doesn't guarantee you'll make the money.

I, too, take issue with your 95% claim.
-Sam

[/ QUOTE ]

Well obviously he's folding there [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img] I just meant he's letting the others take themselves out.

Gator_Nutz 05-27-2005 09:29 AM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
Very good RiverDood. I know I'm playing where I should be. Just reading your quiz scared the hell out of me.

krisco 05-27-2005 12:00 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
thanks riverdodd that helps me out alot.thanks

noggindoc 05-27-2005 02:21 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
[ QUOTE ]
i am telling the truth. another player who finishes well every week jokes about who is going to take the crown away from me every week, lol. i almost won my way into the WPT at horseshoe in january.won a sattelite and finished 18th out of 262 in super sat. i go play in 10/ 20 limit tables some and start with about 300dollars. i have won 1500 to 2000 on some trips.i have been maybe 8 times.i have won 5 out of 8 times. lost 100 to 200 other times. i just wanted to know how i stood against people that play for bigger limits.thanks again

[/ QUOTE ]
no doubt you're ready for the big time! [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

ricochet420 05-27-2005 05:39 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
This is OBVIOUSLY VERY POSSIBLE. I play with the same group of guys on a regular basis for a little better than a year now. I have placed ITM in this game 100% of the time, yes you read that correct. I am NOT bragging, okay just a little, but it is very possible. I can even say I have NOT come in first place at the most 5-6 times. [ QUOTE ]

You've finished in the top 10-20% of all players 95% of the time? You'll forgive me if I don't believe you?

[/ QUOTE ]

krisco 05-27-2005 06:42 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
thank you ricochet, i dont have a reason to lie about it. i was just asking for some advice. i have learned these same players like the back of my hand.its the same players every week.

TM1212 05-27-2005 08:08 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
[ QUOTE ]
We have been playing a weekly NLHE tour. for 2 years now. it is usually 15 to 20 players every week.i think that there are at least 5 to 6 good players playing.We have a 100 dollar buy in and pay 3 places. I have finished in the top 3 everytime except about 5% of the time.I have been to horse and won a couple of super satellites. but i am jiust nervous about moving up to 1000 to 2000 buyin tour.i think i am a decent player.any thoughts please on making th jump to higher buyins thanks.

[/ QUOTE ]

I normally hate negative posting, but GOD DAMN! IF YOUR GONNA LIE, MAKE IT A GOOD LIE! A 100 nlhe tour (where)? 95% of the time u cash LOL!!!! NOT POSIBLE!!! [censored] 50% is almost unthinkable! Are you playing against monkey's? F*ck even a Monkey is gonna out draw you once and a while.

Yea enter the fictional 1,000 tourts. Tells us about how you have 20 straight cashes in those next!

On a serious note, If this isn't just some incredible waste of all our time and a serious post, learn to take accurate statistics (or any statistics for that matter). Cause you'll learn that 95% cash rate is just not possible. And you’ll learn a lot move about the game.

TM1212 05-27-2005 08:19 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is OBVIOUSLY VERY POSSIBLE. I play with the same group of guys on a regular basis for a little better than a year now. I have placed ITM in this game 100% of the time, yes you read that correct. I am NOT bragging, okay just a little, but it is very possible. I can even say I have NOT come in first place at the most 5-6 times. [ QUOTE ]

You've finished in the top 10-20% of all players 95% of the time? You'll forgive me if I don't believe you?

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually mathematically its not. But what’s math right?

You’ll almost never get your chips in as a 95% favorite, and especially not over and over through out a year in a 20 person tourt! Your gonna have heads up pots 60/40, 65/35, 50/50, and against multiple opponents and big draws, ITS NOT POSSIBLE! Your gonna have QQ run into AA, and Your gonna have your big pockets sucked out on by smaller ones, or a live over card. There not run of cards this good! ITS NOT POSSIBLE ABSOULETLY NOT!

And Yes anything is “OBVIOUSLY POSSIBLE“, But in this case, it is DAMN NEAR AS CLOSE TO IMPOSSIBLE AS YOU CAN GET!

BigRedAce 05-27-2005 08:19 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
[ QUOTE ]
This is OBVIOUSLY VERY POSSIBLE. I play with the same group of guys on a regular basis for a little better than a year now. I have placed ITM in this game 100% of the time, yes you read that correct. I am NOT bragging, okay just a little, but it is very possible. I can even say I have NOT come in first place at the most 5-6 times. [ QUOTE ]

You've finished in the top 10-20% of all players 95% of the time? You'll forgive me if I don't believe you?

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

Same here. I play with the same 20+ guys regularly and am almost always in the money (80% or so). It's gotten a little less as we all have improved, but being in the money a majority of the time is defintely possible *with the same people*. You get to know very well how they play, and they think they know how you play.

Example, one week I was bluffing like a mad man and occasionally showing my cards. Next week I had cards up the wazoo and kept getting called "because he bluffs all the time..."

TM1212 05-27-2005 08:22 PM

Re: wondering how good i can play?
 
Your all watching to much TV Poker!

Im not having this talk unless one of you actually look at the figures your throwing around. Theres no way any tell, read, or cards run could give you an edge to the percent you guys are talking.


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