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-   -   A tough spot w a big pretty flop (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=205903)

fsuplayer 03-02-2005 10:14 PM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
this was a full game DOTT, I forgot to mention that.

Mad Genius1 03-02-2005 10:14 PM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
Let's examine the situation for a minute.

First of all, giving BB the benefit of the doubt I don't think he will call a raise OOP with QJ. So what is his range of hands here? The 3 most likely hands are to be AK, TT, and 99, with an outside chance of AA and KK. If he has a set you are more than a 2-1 dog. If he has AK you are obviously in great shape but I don't think he would opt to go for the check-raise with just TPTK on a board like that. If he has you beat then you are pretty much drawing to a flush and he could have re-draws. I know it's tough but I think you have to fold here, getting incorrect odds to draw to the flush. Also keep in mind that if he has a set and a heart drops on the turn after you call, he could easily put you on your exact hand and fold his set.

fsuplayer 03-02-2005 10:22 PM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
QJ is less likely, but there are more combos of it, and most okay playing NL players wont fold QJs here, well some wont anyways, and since i dont have a read, I wouldnt completely disregard that as a possibility.

Mad Genius1 03-02-2005 11:06 PM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
Well if we add QJ to the range of his holdings doesn't that only strengthen the argument for folding? QJ leaves you with 8 or 9 outs depending on if he has a heart.

FoxwoodsFiend 03-02-2005 11:53 PM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
Sorry, but against a player who's put in a third of his stack on a check-raise against a UTG+1 raise on a K high board, I assume two pair at worse-call and get your stack in if you hit an ace or a flush on the turn. Even if he has a set or straight you'll have 13 outs, and if you don't hit two pair or a flush muck the turn.

Kripke 03-03-2005 12:11 AM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
Even if he has a set or straight you'll have 13 outs

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm sorry, I might be a bit slow. How does Hero have 13 outs against a set or a straight?

- Kripke

dangerous_badman 03-03-2005 12:33 AM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Even if he has a set or straight you'll have 13 outs

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm sorry, I might be a bit slow. How does Hero have 13 outs against a set or a straight?

- Kripke

[/ QUOTE ]

If as the above poster described Hero hits an A on the turn, he now has two A outs, two K outs, and the remaining nine heart outs against the set. I think that's what he was getting at.

fsuplayer 03-03-2005 12:34 AM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
well the poll is overwhelmingly in favor of a reraise all in, yet the responses (which have been good, ty) are more split in their decision.

hopefully Jason, turnip, bruiser and a couple of others can give their thoughts.

thanks so far.

fsuplayer

theBruiser500 03-03-2005 12:40 AM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
do you have any folding equity on a raise all in? i don't think so, except maybe against a specific player you do. they seem pretty strong to me, i'd acll the flop hope to hit something, and then play for stacks. if no hit on the turn then fold and save yourself some money by not going all in on the flop. if there is doubt though and he might fold to an all in or maybe be doing something crazy with a pair and a straight draw then all in flop. my guess is that if you go all in on flop then youa re getting all your money in with worst of it.

phifediggy 03-03-2005 12:58 AM

Re: A tough spot w a big pretty flop
 
i call for the same reasons. i would check the turn no matter what comes -- if you hit the heart or an ace, you can checkraise all-in.


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