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Re: A9s six players see flop.
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I bet the turn for 2 reasons. 1. To fold any unpaired Ax hands that might still be around. 2. I thought it was +ev if I got 3 callers, but I realised that was wrong after looking over the hand. [/ QUOTE ] Both these reasons are wrong. 1. Even if a bet fold a better ace every time it would be -EV. By folding an A you're buying 2 outs which will only come in 4% of the time. You're buying 4% of the pot. 0.04*11.25= 0.45 You're investing one BB to win at best 0.45BB (in reality less than 0.2BB since you'll not often fold a better ace here). 2. As you said, this is just plain wrong. Take the turn free card. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
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But think about it, when you have people fold you increase your chance of winning the pot greatly. [/ QUOTE ] Not to sound like a parrot, but I agree. It's just that betting here isn't as obvious (to me) as raising pf or flop was. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
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Actually ignore my first post, I would bet here. You have about a 20% chance of improving to the nuts and if you spike an ace you might win. Since you're contributing 20% of the pot, you should bet. Betting would be better than taking the free card. [/ QUOTE ] I'll give you at best 23% equity here. You'll have to get ALL four players calling for a bet almost every time for it to be +EV. Take the freecard. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
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Turn is debatable. A free card here would be nice, but the pot may be big enough to try and knock out a player or two. [/ QUOTE ] Unless you can get a better hand to fold by betting (won't happen often) you don't want to knock out players by betting. |
Re: re: all
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If I check and catch an ace on the river, I won't be happy if it's a bet and 2 calls (or worse) to me. [/ QUOTE ] Why? It's an easy call. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
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[ QUOTE ] I bet the turn for 2 reasons. 1. To fold any unpaired Ax hands that might still be around. 2. I thought it was +ev if I got 3 callers, but I realised that was wrong after looking over the hand. [/ QUOTE ] Both these reasons are wrong. 1. Even if a bet fold a better ace every time it would be -EV. By folding an A you're buying 2 outs which will only come in 4% of the time. You're buying 4% of the pot. 0.04*11.25= 0.45 You're investing one BB to win at best 0.45BB (in reality less than 0.2BB since you'll not often fold a better ace here). 2. As you said, this is just plain wrong. Take the turn free card. [/ QUOTE ] This is wracking my brain. Thanks for the input. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
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But think about it, when you have people fold you increase your chance of winning the pot greatly. [/ QUOTE ] No. You improve your chances a tiny bit. Not worth a bet. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
Meh I may very well be wrong. We need Shillx here to run some numbers.
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Re: A9s six players see flop.
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We need Shillx here to run some numbers. [/ QUOTE ] If you understand this we'll not have to ask Shillx: [ QUOTE ] 1. Even if a bet fold a better ace every time it would be -EV. By folding an A you're buying 2 outs which will only come in 4% of the time. You're buying 4% of the pot. 0.04*11.25= 0.45 You're investing one BB to win at best 0.45BB (in reality less than 0.2BB since you'll not often fold a better ace here). [/ QUOTE ] If a bet won't improve your chances in winning the hand unimproved (it will not) it's wrong to bet to fold opponents. And since you'll not get 4 callers most of the time either it will be wrong to bet because of your ~23% equity. Another (small) advantage of checking is that somebody might bet into you when you river the flush. |
Re: A9s six players see flop.
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I think it was better to bet the turn and may be get free showdown. [/ QUOTE ] You don't want a free showdown with A-high. |
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