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-   -   Raise the river? Nut straight w/ 3-flush on the board in huge pot (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=388957)

Songwind 12-01-2005 02:22 PM

Re: Raise the river? Nut straight w/ 3-flush on the board in huge pot
 
*grunch*

I like the river raise. SB wakes up on the turn, I think he paired his king, has Q9 or you may possibly be splitting the pot. I can't see why he'd slowplay a flush draw.

beset7 12-01-2005 02:55 PM

Re: Raise the river? Nut straight w/ 3-flush on the board in huge pot
 
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I wonder what percentage of the time we would need to bet getting freerolled to make just calling the river correct...


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let's say we win an average of 2BB from SB and 2BB from MP about 60% of the time we win, and chop 2BB with SB 40% of the time when we win. so we win an average of 2.8 BB when we win. When we lose, we will lose 3BB (assuming we just call). So, we have to not be up against a flush a little more than half the time for this river raise to be good. I think we are.

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Thanks this makes a lot of sense.

bottomset 12-01-2005 03:01 PM

Re: Raise the river? Nut straight w/ 3-flush on the board in huge pot
 
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There will be a 2+2 Vegas trip in my future for sure, but I'm barely 20.

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just don't drink to the point where you are trashed and play bigger than 4/8 and all will be good

jaxUp 12-01-2005 03:16 PM

Re: Raise the river? Nut straight w/ 3-flush on the board in huge pot
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


There will be a 2+2 Vegas trip in my future for sure, but I'm barely 20.

[/ QUOTE ]

just don't drink to the point where you are trashed and play bigger than 4/8 and all will be good

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I am a major lightweight drinker, so 3 or 4 will have me donking. And I figure moving after from .5/1 to 5/10 in a year, if I keep this rate up I'll be at 50/100 by the time I'm old enough to go [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]


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