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-   -   TJ suited.... (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=379290)

EMcWilliams 11-16-2005 02:52 AM

Re: TJ suited....
 
Ok. I dont play 100 NL but I figured 60 was about a short stack. I still think this play will work better against a big stack, and not as well against this size of a stack.

AllIn3High 11-16-2005 03:00 AM

Re: TJ suited....
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Was it you who told me not to make plays on people without reads??

I dont remember...but the Aggro 6max limit player in me likes the play...

[/ QUOTE ]



yes that was me, but i have 15 outs and i think enough fold equity to make this play work. maybe not...

i guess i was just wondering if this play is good at the 100's...

[/ QUOTE ]


<discalimer: quick calculations, probably wrong>

If he folds: +$35.5
If he calls: ((15/45) * 72.5) - ((30/45) * 49) = $24.17-$32.7 = -$8.5

breakeven point:

0 = X*35.5 + (1-X)*-8.5
0 = 35.5X - 8.5 + 8.5X
8.5 = 44X
X ~= 19%

</disclaimer>

Even if my calculations aren't correct he doesn't need to fold very often to make this play a good one.


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