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-   -   What's my win rate? Sample graphs from 110K hands! (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=404190)

Sniper 12-25-2005 10:14 PM

Re: What\'s my win rate? Sample graphs from 110K hands!
 
Adde...

You could do the quick math, using your own BB/Hand calcs from PT [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

jtr 12-26-2005 09:33 AM

Re: What\'s my win rate? Sample graphs from 110K hands!
 
[ QUOTE ]
You could do the quick math, using your own BB/Hand calcs from PT [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I think that might start to get a bit circular, as the two types of data (per hand win-rates and per 10,000 hand win-rates) are far from independent.

theRealMacoy 12-27-2005 04:42 AM

Re: What\'s my win rate? Sample graphs from 110K hands!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You could do the quick math, using your own BB/Hand calcs from PT [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I think that might start to get a bit circular, as the two types of data (per hand win-rates and per 10,000 hand win-rates) are far from independent.

[/ QUOTE ]


...now that is an understatement.

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Sniper 12-27-2005 04:58 AM

Re: What\'s my win rate? Sample graphs from 110K hands!
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You could do the quick math, using your own BB/Hand calcs from PT [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

I think that might start to get a bit circular, as the two types of data (per hand win-rates and per 10,000 hand win-rates) are far from independent.

[/ QUOTE ]

I figured Adde would understand what I meant...

If you take the Avg BB/Hand for each type of hand dealt (AA, KK, etc)... and apply it to the actual distribution of cards in each 1K segment... it will help identify when your win rate diverges from your expected win rate based on card distribution...

You could then do a deeper analysis of the times when actual diverges from expected based on the cards, to help identify true leaks [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

Does that make more sense?

madmisha 12-27-2005 12:25 PM

Re: What\'s my win rate? Sample graphs from 110K hands!
 
great info, thanks


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