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-   -   Why favorites are on a roll in NFL '05 (http://archives2.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=373179)

12-05-2005 05:54 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
111-76, incredible. It would've even been hard for dogs to go 111-76 in most stretches over the last 15 years.

jedinite 12-05-2005 06:21 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
Its an interesting question. Has there been an evolution of parity in the NFL in the last two years, culminating in a peak this year, which has served to change some of the fundamental assumptions we follow? Does it warrant an evolution in handicapping methodologies?

I've been pleased as hell my system is running in the green this year, albeit barely. Game of the Week running strong as usual. I haven't yet made any adjustments to the system, but it has been something I've been contemplating (making a tweak to my methodology, and running both systems side-by-side for the rest of the year to compare results). I've been looking at an algorythm for the Colts alone... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

tech 12-05-2005 06:24 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
The great thing about free markets is that they adjust.

TheRover 12-05-2005 06:53 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
I guess it's mildly comforting I'm not the only one getting reamed here...

CCx 12-05-2005 07:01 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
[ QUOTE ]
you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

[/ QUOTE ]

there's still time [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

always fun to watch the stat rats scratch their heads

DougOzzzz 12-05-2005 07:07 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
[ QUOTE ]
I've been looking at an algorythm for the Colts alone... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is an algorithm:

If (team==Colts and spread>-100) {
PickColts = true
}

jedinite 12-05-2005 07:27 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
Have you been spying on me? That's almost identical to what i've got...

20Five 12-05-2005 07:54 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I've been looking at an algorythm for the Colts alone... [img]/images/graemlins/blush.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is an algorithm:

If (team==Colts and spread>-100) {
PickColts = true
}

[/ QUOTE ]

lol, Colts_wins++;

12-05-2005 09:46 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
you're just way, way overdue on being a square

join the party

[/ QUOTE ]

there's still time [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]


always fun to watch the stat rats scratch their heads

[/ QUOTE ]

I do pick faves but at nowhere near the clip I do dogs. My system adapts but this correction is really phenomenal. I applaud anyone with a shred of analytic know-how who's doing well this year.

peter t 9 12-05-2005 10:54 PM

Re: Why favorites are on a roll in NFL \'05
 
hey scott i cant get on your web page whats up?


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